Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon

This page is a knowledge crystal of subtype variable. The page identifier is Op_en1900
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Scope

Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon describes the health risks of persistent pollutants found in the farmed salmon consumed in the Western Europe (EU-15, Norway, Iceland, and Switzerland). The risk is measured as avoided premature deaths per year (this leads to negative numbers for increased risks).

Definition

Data

• The plausible range is -10000 - 0 avoided cases per year (author judgement).
• Pollutant health risk is calculated assuming additivity between the pollutants.
• Dioxin risks are not considered because they were not considered in Hites' paper.

Causality

Upstream variables

• Variable:Exposure to persistent pollutants due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe
• Variable:Dose-response function of persistent pollutants
• Variable:Total mortality in the Western Europe

Unit

avoided cases/a

Formula

<anacode>

var a:= -Risk_slope*pollutant_exposure/1000*western_europe;
a:= (if pollutant1='Dioxin' then 0 else a);
sum(a,pollutant1)

</anacode>

Result

{{#opasnet_base_link:Op_en1900}}

Statistics or fractile	Business as usual	Recommend restrictions	Stricter rules for feed	Both
Mean	-206	-151	-139	-102
SD	71	55	70	53
0.01	-408	-326	-340	-268
0.025	-371	-292	-302	-233
0.05	-339	-259	-270	-202
0.25	-249	-179	-180	-129
0.5 (Median)	-196	-138	-130	-94
0.75	-153	-111	-87	-65
0.95	-107	-83	-40	-29
0.975	-96	-76	-28	-21
0.99	-84	-69	-17	-13

See also

Benefit-risk assessment on farmed salmon: To the assessment page | To the Analytica model
Decision variables: Variable:Recommendation for consumption of farmed salmon | Variable:Pollutant concentration limits for fish feed
Indicators: Variable:Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon | Variable:Net health effects due to the consumption of salmon
Other variables: Variable:Persistent pollutant concentrations in fish feed | Variable:Persistent pollutant concentrations in salmon | Variable:Salmon intake in the population of the Western Europe | Variable:Exposure to persistent pollutants due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe | Variable:Dose-response function of persistent pollutants | Variable:Omega-3 content in salmon | Variable:Omega-3 intake due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe | Variable:Dose-response function of cardiovascular effects of omega-3 fatty acids | Variable:Total mortality in the Western Europe | Variable:Cardiovascular mortality in the Western Europe | Variable:Cardiovascular effects of omega-3 in salmon in the Western Europe