Climate change policies and health in Kuopio
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Scope
Question
What are potential climate policies that reach the greenhouse emission targets in the city of Kuopio for years 2010-2030? What are their effects on health and well-being, and what recommendations can be given based on this? The national greenhouse emission target is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 20 % between 1990 and 2020; the city of Kuopio has its own, more ambitious target of 40 % for the same time period.
Boundaries
- Time: Year 2010 - 2030
- Spatial: Activities in Kuopio, Finland. Health and well-being effects due to policies anywhere, e.g. fine particle emissions in Kuopio increase cardiovascular mortality all over Finland.
Scenarios
- Two scenarios for each climate policy (which have not been defined yet): policy is A) implemented, B) not implemented.
Intended users
- The city of Kuopio.
- Other cities in Urgenche.
- Urgenche researchers are users from the methodological point of view.
Participants
- Main participants:
- City of Kuopio: Erkki Pärjälä, Mikko Savastola
- THL: Marjo Niittynen, Jouni Tuomisto, Matti Jantunen.
- Other participants:
- University of Exeter
- Universität Stuttgart
- Other Urgenche research groups
- Other Urgenche cities
Answer
Results
Not yet available.
Conclusions
The target of 40 % GHG reduction seems to be unrealistically ambitious.
Rationale
Decision variables
- Climate policy 1
- Climate policy 2...
Indicators
- Cardiovascular mortality
- Pulmonar mortality
- Well-being...
Other variables
Assessment-specific data
Obs | Variable | Index | Location | Result | Description |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Population of Kuopio | Age | Total | 80000 | Just a placeholder |
R code
Value variables
Analyses
- Decision analysis on each policy: Which option minimises the health risks?
- Value-of-information analysis for each policy about the major variables in the model and the total VOI.
See also
References
Related files
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