Climate change policies and health in Kuopio: Difference between revisions
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The average usage of firewood in certain types of houses according to the wain heating system in 2000-2001 (m^3)<ref>Kuopio University 2005 (in Finnish)[http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=4&sqi=2&ved=0CEEQFjAD&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bioenergiatieto.fi%2Fdefault%2F%3F__EVIA_WYSIWYG_FILE%3D6783%26name%3Dfile&ei=xZkVT-GaM8TE4gSs64zmAw&usg=AFQjCNG0Toaxlzzbr2fzU9g6cHPBXoKQdw&sig2=LhyRk6phRxeCf2VpZb0HzA]</ref> | |||
{| {{prettytable}} | |||
|colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Main heating system | |||
|colspan="4"| Type of estate | |||
|---- | |||
| Detached house | |||
| Farm | |||
| Free-time place | |||
| Total | |||
|---- | |||
|colspan="2"| Stove heating | |||
| 7.1 | |||
| 10 | |||
| 2 | |||
| 4.4 | |||
|---- | |||
|rowspan="3"| Central heating | |||
| Wood | |||
| 13.7 | |||
| 25.6 | |||
| .. | |||
| 18.4 | |||
|---- | |||
| Oil | |||
| 1.8 | |||
| 8.2 | |||
| .. | |||
| 2.3 | |||
|---- | |||
| Electricity | |||
| 2.5 | |||
| 7.8 | |||
| .. | |||
| 2.8 | |||
|---- | |||
|colspan="2"| Straight electric heating | |||
| 2.9 | |||
| 6.5 | |||
| 1.6 | |||
| 2.7 | |||
|---- | |||
|colspan="2"| District heating | |||
| 1.1 | |||
| .. | |||
| .. | |||
| 1.2 | |||
|---- | |||
|colspan="2"| All | |||
| 3.8 | |||
| 14.4 | |||
| 1.8 | |||
| 4.4 | |||
|---- | |||
|} | |||
Revision as of 15:58, 17 January 2012
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Scope
Question
What are potential climate policies that reach the greenhouse emission targets in the city of Kuopio for years 2010-2030? What are their effects on health and well-being, and what recommendations can be given based on this? The national greenhouse emission target is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 20 % between 1990 and 2020; the city of Kuopio has its own, more ambitious target of 40 % for the same time period.
Boundaries
- Time: Year 2010 - 2030
- Spatial: Activities in Kuopio, Finland. Health and well-being effects due to policies anywhere, e.g. fine particle emissions in Kuopio increase cardiovascular mortality all over Finland.
Scenarios
- Two scenarios for each climate policy (which have not been defined yet): policy is A) implemented, B) not implemented.
Intended users
- The city of Kuopio.
- Other cities in Urgenche.
- Urgenche researchers are users from the methodological point of view.
Participants
- Main participants:
- City of Kuopio: Erkki Pärjälä, Mikko Savastola
- THL: Marjo Niittynen, Jouni Tuomisto, Matti Jantunen.
- Other participants:
- University of Exeter
- Universität Stuttgart
- Other Urgenche research groups
- Other Urgenche cities
Answer
Results
Not yet available.
Conclusions
The target of 40 % GHG reduction seems to be unrealistically ambitious.
Rationale
Decision variables
- Climate policy 1
- Climate policy 2...
Indicators
- Cardiovascular mortality
- Pulmonar mortality
- Well-being...
Other variables
Assessment-specific data
| Obs | Variable | Index | Location | Result | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Population of Kuopio | Age | Total | 80000 | Just a placeholder |
R code
Value variables
Analyses
- Decision analysis on each policy: Which option minimises the health risks?
- Value-of-information analysis for each policy about the major variables in the model and the total VOI.
See also
References
Related files
<mfanonymousfilelist></mfanonymousfilelist>
The average usage of firewood in certain types of houses according to the wain heating system in 2000-2001 (m^3)[1]
| Main heating system | Type of estate | ||||
| Detached house | Farm | Free-time place | Total | ||
| Stove heating | 7.1 | 10 | 2 | 4.4 | |
| Central heating | Wood | 13.7 | 25.6 | .. | 18.4 |
| Oil | 1.8 | 8.2 | .. | 2.3 | |
| Electricity | 2.5 | 7.8 | .. | 2.8 | |
| Straight electric heating | 2.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 2.7 | |
| District heating | 1.1 | .. | .. | 1.2 | |
| All | 3.8 | 14.4 | 1.8 | 4.4 | |