Net health effects due to the consumption of salmon

Benefit-risk assessment on farmed salmon: To the assessment page | To the Analytica model
Decision variables: Variable:Recommendation for consumption of farmed salmon | Variable:Pollutant concentration limits for fish feed
Indicators: Variable:Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon | Variable:Net health effects due to the consumption of salmon
Other variables: Variable:Persistent pollutant concentrations in fish feed | Variable:Persistent pollutant concentrations in salmon | Variable:Salmon intake in the population of the Western Europe | Variable:Exposure to persistent pollutants due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe | Variable:Dose-response function of persistent pollutants | Variable:Omega-3 content in salmon | Variable:Omega-3 intake due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe | Variable:Dose-response function of cardiovascular effects of omega-3 fatty acids | Variable:Total mortality in the Western Europe | Variable:Cardiovascular mortality in the Western Europe | Variable:Cardiovascular effects of omega-3 in salmon in the Western Europe

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Scope

Net health effects due to the consumption of salmon describes the total of beneficial effects of nutrients in fish, and harmful effects of pollutants in fish.

Definition

Data

The result is directly calculated from the causal knowledge.

Causality

Upstream variables

• Variable:Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon (eff_poll)
• Variable:Cardiovascular effects of omega-3 in salmon in the Western Europe (eff_fish)

Unit

avoided cases/a

Formula

<anacode>Eff_fish+eff_poll</anacode>

Result

Table: Net health impacts of eating farmed salmon. The results include the health impacts of the total health impact of omega-3 intake from salmon.

Statistics or fractile	Business as usual	Recommend restrictions	Stricker rules for feed	Both
Mean	31062	22929	31428	23296
SD	22650	17105	22842	17317
0.01	576	404	653	460
0.025	1782	1286	1847	1356
0.05	3632	2697	3766	2803
0.25	14547	10590	14780	10793
0.5 (Median)	25187	18504	25479	18829
0.75	43064	31526	43628	32091
0.95	76141	56697	77010	57393
0.975	88267	66397	89040	67249
0.99	101832	79328	102202	80143

Table: Net health impacts of eating farmed salmon compared with the business-as-usual scenario.

Statistics or fractile	Business as usual	Recommend restrictions	Stricter rules for feed	Both
Mean	0	-8133	366	-7766
SD	0	9703	982	9637
0.01	0	-45895	-2335	-45557
0.025	0	-35624	-1662	-35171
0.05	0	-27745	-1155	-27041
0.25	0	-10929	-60	-10553
0.5 (Median)	0	-4876	264	-4560
0.75	0	-1567	820	-1307
0.95	0	-112	2117	147
0.975	0	-10	2635	459
0.99	0	14	3180	995

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