Uncertainty
From Opasnet
This page is a encyclopedia article.
The page identifier is Op_en2054 

Moderator:Nobody (see all) Click here to sign up. 

Upload data

 Uncertainty refers not only to statistical uncertainty. The typology used in INTARESE builds on an adapted version of the Walker & Harremoës framework.
 One dimension of uncertainties is the location of uncertainties (where the uncertainty is located). For most models it is applicable to distinguish between:
 context
 model structure
 inputs
 parameters
 model outcome (result)
 For the other dimension of uncertainties it is distinguished between three levels of uncertainties:
 statistical uncertainty (known outcomes, known probabilities)
 scenario uncertainty (known outcomes, unknown probabilities)
 identified ignorance (unknown outcomes, unknown probabilities).<section end=glossary />
References
The uncertainty report by WP 1.5.