GOHERR assessment

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Scope

Participants

• University of Helsinki: Sakari Kuikka, Päivi Haapasaari, Kirsi Hoviniemi
• National Institute for Health and Welfare: Jouni Tuomisto, Arja Asikainen
• University of Oulu: Timo P. Karjalainen, Simo Sarkki, Mia Pihlajamäki
• SLU: Anna Gårdmark, Jonas
• Alyne Delaney
• Stakeholders needed in the assessment: fisher's associations, agricultural/fisheries ministries in Finland, Sweden, Estonia, Denmark.

Boundaries

• Time considered: 2015 - 2040.
• Area considered: The whole Baltic Sea. For detailed herring/salmon stock modelling, only the Bothnian Sea and Gulf of Bothnia is considered.
• Policies considered: We will build and explore four integrative scenarios for the future of Baltic salmon and herring
• Outcomes considered: threats to and state of the fish stocks; impacts and governance responses

Decisions and scenarios

• Scenarios (possible internally coherent paths in the future) will be developed about 1) eutrophication, 2) dioxin releases, 3) the use of Baltic herring, and 4) salmon policy, by taking into account different political, economic, social, technical, climate change-related etc. circumstances.
  • Scenario for eutrophication
  • Scenario for herring use ----#: . How do we differentiate herring use scenario and herring policies? --Jouni (talk) 06:54, 22 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)
  • Scenario for salmon policy
  • Scenario for dioxin input to the Baltic Sea
• Salmon management
  • International agreement on fishing quota for salmon
• Herring management
  • Size-selective fishing of herring
• Knowledge actions and fish recommendations
• Agricultural policy
• Dioxin policy
• Etc

Timing

The assessment started in April 2015. The first stakeholder meeting will be in February 2016. The final results with the full decision support tool will be finalised in March 2018.

Answer

The work has just started. There is no answer yet.

Rationale

Goherr causal diagram

Stakeholders

Who will be affected by the decisions?

• Professional fishers
• Anglers and other recreational fishers.
• Food and fish industry.
• Mink and fox farmers in Finland.
• All people utilising recreational values of the Baltic Sea (relates to eutrophication)

Dependencies

• Eutrophication of the Baltic Sea
• Herring fishers' commitment to the fishing restrictions
• Herring population
• Herring catch
• Dioxin levels in herring
• Salmon population
• Salmon catch
• Dioxin levels in salmon
• Consumers' behavour

Outcomes of intrest:

• Sustainability of salmon catch
• Sustainability of herring catch
• Human health (health impacts of healty fish and harmful pollutants, especially dioxin)
• Social utility ----#: . This must be specified! --Jouni (talk) 06:54, 22 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

See also

Goherr Research project 2015-2018: Integrated governance of Baltic herring and salmon stocks involving stakeholders

Goherr public website Workpackages WP1 Management · WP2 Sociocultural use, value and goverrnance of Baltic salmon and herring · WP3 Scenarios and management objectives · WP4 Linking fish physiology to food production and bioaccumulation of dioxin · WP5 Linking the health of the Baltic Sea with health of humans: Dioxin · WP6 Building a decision support model for integrated governance · WP7 Dissemination Other pages in Opasnet GOHERR assessment · Goherr flyer · Goherr scenarios · Relevant literature: policy · dioxins · values Data Exposure- response functions of dioxins · Fish consumption in Sweden · POP concentrations in Baltic sea fish · Exposure-response functions of Omega3 fatty acids Methods Health impact assessment · OpasnetBaseUtils‎ · Modelling in Opasnet Other assessments Benefit-risk assessment of Baltic herring · Benefit-risk assessment on farmed salmon · Benefit-risk assessment of methyl mercury and omega-3 fatty acids in fish · Benefit-risk assessment of fish consumption for Beneris · Benefit-risk assessment of Baltic herring (in Finnish) http://www.bonusportal.org/ http://www.bonusprojects.org/bonusprojects