GOHERR assessment: Difference between revisions

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{{comment|# |Add your suggestions about deadlines!|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 15:32, 22 April 2015 (UTC)}}
{{comment|# |Add your suggestions about deadlines!|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 15:32, 22 April 2015 (UTC)}}
* WP2 Socio-cultural values and governance
* WP3 Scenarios and management
* WP4 Fish stock
* WP5 Health impacts
* WP6 Decision support model


=== Analyses ===
=== Analyses ===

Revision as of 06:59, 23 April 2015



Scope

Question

Intended use and users

Participants

  • University of Helsinki: Sakari Kuikka, Päivi Haapasaari, Kirsi Hoviniemi
  • National Institute for Health and Welfare: Jouni Tuomisto, Arja Asikainen
  • University of Oulu: Timo P. Karjalainen, Simo Sarkki, Mia Pihlajamäki
  • SLU: Anna Gårdmark, Jonas
  • Alyne Delaney
  • Stakeholders needed in the assessment: fisher's associations, agricultural/fisheries ministries in Finland, Sweden, Estonia, Denmark.

Boundaries

  • Time considered: 2015 - 2040.
  • Area considered: Sweden, Finland, Denmark, Estonia. For detailed herring/salmon stock modelling, only the Bothnian Sea and Gulf of Bothnia is considered.
  • Policies considered: We will build and explore four integrative scenarios for the future of Baltic salmon and herring. See Management of Baltic salmon and herring.
  • Outcomes considered: threats to and state of the fish stocks; impacts and governance responses. See Stakeholders' objectives about Baltic salmon and herring.

Decisions and scenarios

See Management of Baltic salmon and herring. A subset that can be modelled is included in this assessment.

Possible management options:

  • International agreement on fishing quota for salmon
  • Size-selective fishing of herring
  • Knowledge actions and fish recommendations
  • Agricultural policy
  • Dioxin policy
  • Etc

Timing

The assessment started in April 2015. The first stakeholder meeting will be in February 2016. The final results with the full decision support tool will be finalised in March 2018.

Answer

The work has just started. There is no answer yet.

Results

Conclusions

Rationale

Goherr causal diagram

Stakeholders

Who will be affected by the decisions?

  • Professional fishers and their organisations
  • Anglers and other recreational fishers and their organisations
  • Land owner fishers and their organisation (they have inherited rights)
  • Saami people also have inherited rights (in Sweden only?)
  • Food and fish industry.
  • Mink and fox farmers
  • All people utilising recreational values of the Baltic Sea (relates to eutrophication)
  • Farmers and agricultural sector
  • Consumers of fish
  • Producers of fish oil and fish meal
  • Baltic Sea RAC (Regional Advisory Concil) represents fishers (located in Copenhagen)
  • Hydropower plant owners

Who will affect the decisions?

  • Food safety organisations (EVIRA, Livsmedelsverket, ...)
  • Ministries (of agriculture, environment, and commerce)
  • EU: DG Mare, EU Parliament?
  • SWAM (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management)

Who are interested in the decisions?

  • Scientists
  • Environmental NGOs
  • Bureaucrats
  • ICES (International Council for the Exploration of the Sea)
  • Helcom

Dependencies

Products from workpackages to other workpackages
From To Deadline Page Topic
WP2 WP3 Stakeholders' objectives about Baltic salmon and herring Stakeholder values and objectives
WP2, WP3 WP6 2016-01-31 Governance types about the Baltic Sea Alternative governance types
WP2 WP6 Salmon and herring fishers' commitment to the fishing restrictions Fraction of a regulation actually implemented? Applicability of planned management options in practice
WP3 WP6 Management paths to the objectives about Baltic salmon and herring Normative scenarios (paths that must be taken to reach an objective)
WP3 WP6 Management of Baltic salmon and herring Management options (decisions)
WP3 WP4 Dioxin emissions into the Baltic Sea Trends of dioxin deposition into the Baltic Sea
WP3 WP4 Eutrophication: Cholorophyll A in the Baltic Sea (indicator of phosphorus and nitrogen in the water in different areas and times) ----#: . How is this actually used? --Jouni (talk) 11:26, 22 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment) Trends of eutrophication of the Baltic Sea
WP3 WP5 2017-10-31 Baltic herring consumption in Finland Salmon and herring consumption around the Baltic Sea Trends of fish consumption
WP4 WP5 2017-10-31 Salmon and herring populations in the Baltic Sea Salmon and herring catch in the Baltic Sea by time and area and fish size Predicted salmon and herring stocks by time, area, and size
WP4 WP3, WP5 2017-10-31 EU-kalat This page is a study about Finnish measurements Dioxin concentrations in fish in the Baltic Sea this is a variable page based on e.g. EU-kalat data and Goherr project results. Bioaccumulation of dioxins in fish and potential of fishing to change that
WP5 WP6 2017-12-31 Health benefits and risks of Baltic herring and salmon Health benefits and risks of Baltic herring and salmon
WP5 WP3, WP6 2017-04-30 Reactions of people to fish eating recommendations People's willingness to change consumption patterns based on risk
WP5 WP6 2017-04-30 Determinants of fish-eating habits around the Baltic Sea Determinants of fish-eating habits

----#: . Add your suggestions about deadlines! --Jouni (talk) 15:32, 22 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

  • WP2 Socio-cultural values and governance
  • WP3 Scenarios and management
  • WP4 Fish stock
  • WP5 Health impacts
  • WP6 Decision support model

Analyses

Indices

Calculations

See also

Goherr Research project 2015-2018: Integrated governance of Baltic herring and salmon stocks involving stakeholders

Goherr public website

Workpackages

WP1 Management · WP2 Sociocultural use, value and goverrnance of Baltic salmon and herring · WP3 Scenarios and management objectives · WP4 Linking fish physiology to food production and bioaccumulation of dioxin · WP5 Linking the health of the Baltic Sea with health of humans: Dioxin · WP6 Building a decision support model for integrated governance · WP7 Dissemination

Other pages in Opasnet

GOHERR assessment · Goherr flyer · Goherr scenarios · Relevant literature: policy · dioxins · values

Data

Exposure- response functions of dioxins · Fish consumption in Sweden · POP concentrations in Baltic sea fish · Exposure-response functions of Omega3 fatty acids

Methods Health impact assessment · OpasnetBaseUtils‎ · Modelling in Opasnet
Other assessments Benefit-risk assessment of Baltic herring · Benefit-risk assessment on farmed salmon · Benefit-risk assessment of methyl mercury and omega-3 fatty acids in fish · Benefit-risk assessment of fish consumption for Beneris · Benefit-risk assessment of Baltic herring (in Finnish)

http://www.bonusportal.org/ http://www.bonusprojects.org/bonusprojects

Keywords

Terminology

Normative scenarios
paths you need to take to reach a defined goal
Expolorative scenarios
identify key uncertainties and dependencies to describe coherent paths into the future.
Governance types
How things are managed (e.g. top down command or co-management).
Management action
Actions to be taken based on decision-maker's decision (i.e. decisions)

References


Assmuth Timo and Jalonen Pauliina 2005: Risks and management of dioxin-like compounds in Baltic Sea fish: An integrated assessment. Nordic Council of Ministers, Copenhagen. Assmuth Jalonen Dioxin risk assessment 2005 [1]

Related files