Goherr/WP3

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Scenarios and management objectives (WP3) The Common Fisheries Policy (CFP) aims at ensuring that marine resources are exploited in a sustainable environmental, economic, and social manner. During the reform of the CFP, the need to clearly define and prioritise ecological, social and economic objectives was highlihted. Drawing from this, the overall aim of WP3 is to identify, prioritize and explore, different management objectives for Baltic salmon and herring. This is done by involving relevant stakeholder groups (e.g. fishers, consumers, eNGOs, authorities, scientists) in defining and prioritizing biological, social, economic, and human health related objectives for integrated salmon and herring policy as well as for identifying different pathways to meet these objectives. Achieving the objectives in the long term is influenced by a number of factors, most of which relate to different political, economic, social, technical, and environmental conditions in the future. For addressing these factors, a scenario analysis is applied to a) build four exploratory scenarios for the future of Baltic salmon and herring regarding threats, state, impacts and governance responses, and; b) estimate trends up to year 2040 related to 1) eutrophication and 2) dioxin releases, 3) the use of Baltic herring, and 4) salmon policy. For the Decision Support Tool (WP6) the probability of materialization of each identified trend will be estimated. Objectives 1. Identify, define and prioritize objectives for integrated salmon and herring policy 2. Define pathways for reaching the objectives 3.Build exploratory scenarios for the future of Baltic salmon and herring reflecting diverse governance contexts under ecosystem based management and sector based management 4. Estimate trends and their probabilities up to year 2040 for eutrophication, dioxin releases, the use of Baltic herring, and salmon policy More information: http://en.opasnet.org/w/Goherr:_WP3_Scenarios_and_management_objectives