Energy supply in Europe

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Scope

What is the energy supply in Europe (EU-30) for electricity, heat, and transport fuel production categorised by fuel and facility type during the period 2010-2050?

  1. Primary supply of energy.
  2. Primary use (e.g. heat and power plants).
  3. Final use.

Definition

Data

Dependencies

Unit

PJ/a

Formula

Alternative 1 used.

Alternative 1

Excel model: Energy supply in Europe.xls

The approach is based on OECD energy balance sheets. The idea is that these balance sheets are a reliable starting point for describing energy supply, production, and use. When proportional changes are made to one of them, others must be adjusted so that they match again. This is basically done with a manual process in the Excel sheet. When a balance has been achieved, the CO2 and PM2.5 emissions can be calculated based on different activities.

  • Problem: The model works on annual basis and does not account for seasonal or daily variations. Solution: Ignore the problem and use it anyway (with caution, of course).
  • Problem: There are technical formatting problems that make it difficult to copy-paste data to and from the Excel sheet. Solution: Talk with Matti and reformat the sheet. Specifically on sheet Mtoe:
    • Merge rows 10-11: only one row for the title.
    • Add text to Rows 19, 32 (all columns), otherwise they are ignored in the Table to Wiki reformatting.
    • Colour codes should be clearly explained somewhere.

Alternative 2

Use Times dynamic model (run by IER/University of Stuttgart) to find plausible energy supply and consumption scenarios.

  • Problem: The model is heavy to run and not openly available. Solution: Don't use the model.

Result

{{#opasnet_base_link:Op_en4078}}


Energy balance sheet, OECD Europe 2007 (IEA,2009). Million tons of oil equivalent (Mtoe) per year.
Supply and consumption Coal & peat Crude oil Petrochem products Gas Nuclear Hydro Geothermal, solar, wind Combust, renew, waste Electricity Heat Total
Production 188.71 236.95 236.63 241.26 42.79 20.92 99.58 0.45 1067.29
Imports 174.45 657.10 299.21 347.42 4.21 29.03 1511.43
Exports -32.74 -173.64 -287.97 -140.82 -1.31 -28.69 -0.01 -665.18
Intl marine bunkers -54.73 **)
Intl aviation bunkers -45.79 **)
Stock changes 6.78 0.01 2.76 4.50 -0.08 13.97
TPES 337.20 720.42 14.0 447.73 241.26 42.79 20.92 102.41 0.34 0.44 1927.50
Transfers 17.67 -15.39 2.29
Statistical differences -2.99 1.67 1.79 1.16 -0.08 0.11 0.44 2.12
Electricity plants -177.01 -15.48 -83.86 -237.92 -42.79 -16.16 -17.85 251.41 -0.45 -340.13
CHP Plants -63.56 *) -9.56 -58.68 -3.34 -0.97 -16.87 56.21 47.52 -49.25
Heat plants -5.19 -0.82 -5.38 -0.13 -3.72 -0.25 13.40 -2.09
Gas works -0.46 -0.18 0.46 -0.18
Petroleum refineries -748.50 741.71 -6.79
Coal transformation -24.44 0.02 -1.96 -0.09 -26.47
Liquefication plants
Other transformation 0.01 11.18 -11.41 -0.17 -0.11 -0.50
Own use -6.85 -39.78 -17.74 -0.08 -24.33 -2.33 -91.60
Distribution losses -1.03 -0.02 -2.69 -0.13 -0.02 -19.70 -3.77 -27.35
TFC 55.67 2.47 662.91 280.74 3.53 63.69 263.30 55.26 1387.51
Industry sector 40.93 0.01 45.03 92.26 0.16 19.84 107.49 17.23 322.95
Iron and steel 16.86 1.21 9.83 0.04 12.93 0.34 41.20
Chemical and petrochem 2.28 0.01 8.85 20.61 0.49 17.81 3.46 53.52
Non-ferrous metals 0.65 1.08 3.31 0.03 9.56 0.23 14.87
Non-metallic minerals 6.68 11.03 16.26 1.51 7.76 0.12 43.34
Transport equipment 0.13 0.66 3.07 4.20 0.21 8.27
Machinery 0.23 2.39 7.99 0.03 9.55 0.36 20.56
Mining and quarrying 0.16 0.81 0.55 1.43 0.28 3.24
Food and tobacco 2.26 3.90 12.46 0.90 10.10 0.62 30.24
Paper, pulp & printing 1.27 2.04 9.00 11.30 12.98 1.63 38.23
Wood and wood products 0.14 0.31 0.40 3.15 2.37 0.33 6.71
Construction 2.16 3.39 0.81 0.12 1.57 0.06 8.11
Textile and leather 0.33 0.87 3.15 0.07 3.64 0.10 8.15
Non-specified 7.77 8.49 4.81 0.16 2.20 13.59 9.50 46.50
Transport sector 432.49 1.89 7.85 6.54 448.78
Domestic aviation 10.96 10.96
International aviation 45.79 45.79
Road transport 311.23 0.63 7.85 319.71
Rail transport 0.01 2.95 5.18 8.13
Pipeline transport 1.14 0.11 1.25
Domestic navigation 6.68 6.68
International navigation 54.73 54.73
Non-specified 0.15 0.12 1.26 1.53
Other sectors 13.45 83.69 173.68 3.37 36.01 149.26 38.03 497.49
Residential 11.03 45.84 118.42 2.74 32.29 73.97 13.00 297.30
Community & public services 1.25 17.16 41.33 0.26 2.15 69.84 5.32 137.31
Agriculture & forestry 1.08 18.04 4.53 0.07 1.55 4.96 0.34 30.56
Fishing 1.68 0.04 0.05 1.77
Non-specified 0.09 0.97 9.39 0.26 0.02 0.45 19.38 30.56
Non-energy use 1.28 2.46 101.70 12.92 118.36
in industry/transf./energy 1.11 2.46 97.71 12.92 114.20
of which: feedstocks 0.16 2.46 68.03 12.92 83.57
in transport 3.38 3.38
in other sectors 0.17 0.61 0.77
Electricity and heat output
Electricity generated - TWh 1012.69 0.02 109.87 801.95 925.32 497.60 120.81 108.09 0.63 3577.00
Electricity plants 769.95 64.64 503.26 912.96 497.60 118.98 55.32 0.36 2923.07
CHP plants 242.75 0.02 45.23 298.70 12.36 1.83 52.77 0.27 653.93
Heat generated - PJ 722.42 0.08 178.56 1007.85 4.85 24.20 395.02 3.88 232.82 2569.67
CHP-plants 583.61 0.08 154.30 861.97 4.85 8.28 290.55 1.73 92.89 1998.25
Heat plants 138.81 24.27 145.88 15.92 104.47 2.15 139.93 571.42


See also

References