Health effects of urban heat islands: Difference between revisions

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==Discussion with Rainer, Jouni, and Alex 6.7.2010==
[[heande:Urban heat island]]
[[Category:Health impact]]
[[Category:Heat]]
[[Category:Mega case study]]
[[Category:Intarese]]
{{variable|moderator=Virpi Kollanus}}


* Deadline for this part of MCS analysis: early September.
==Scope==
* Deadline for the MCS report: end of September


Three main topics for [[THL]] to assess in the [Mega case study]]:
==Definition==
# concentration change of outdoor-to-indoor pollutants due to insulation
 
#* Stuttgart has basic data on buildings, both Northern and Southern Europe. They will send information about them.
===Data===
#* Estimates will be made by  THL about how fast the better insulation in buildings will change (rought estimate 1-2%/a of house stock gets improved)
 
#** Based on this, changes in ventilation will be estimated. Easiest is to calculate old and new/renovated buildings separately with high/low ventilation? Another aspect is incoming air filtration, which reduces some pollutants. How many houses are better insulated?
* [http://asusmart.com/projects/climate/relation-between-urban-morphology-and-heat-vulnerability-in-the-city-of-chicago Relation between Urban Morphology and Heat Vulnerability in the City of Chicago]
#* Matti has building and heating information from several countries. In addition, Otto has done work on Finnish ventilation and insulation issues. Jouni will talk with both of them.
*[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Larger_Urban_Zone Larger Urban Zones in Europe]
#* Jouni will check Ullas work on radon mould.
 
#* Make sure that all relevant pollutants are included: formaldehyde, environmental tobacco smoke, radon, PM, others?. Do we have background concentrations? Jouni will talk with Matti.
===Dependencies===
#* Who calculates the whole chain? THL based on Hilary's and Fintan's [[ERF]]s.
 
#* The official MCS scenarios have insulation, Marcus from Ustutt (energy modeller) has some insulaton data. Jouni will ask for that.
* [[Urban heat island effect in Europe]]
# Due to bioenergy emphasis, there will be more wood burning ->more pm?
* [[Total mortality in the Western Europe]]
#* More wood burning as a source to indoor air directly
* [[Heat exposure in Europe]]
#* Cenral stoves are not bad in this but open stoves in the room are. They may have high emissions to indoor air. Jouni will ask Marko, as he has made some estimates already.
** [[Urban heat island effect in Europe]]
#* Look also at the outdoor emissions.
** [[Ambient air temperature in Europe]]
#* Question: where do we get data for Central and South Europe? Jouni will talk with Marko.
* [[ERF of ambient temperature on mortality]]
#* 10 % (of what) in stuttgart comes from wood burning.
 
# Urban heat islands
===Unit===
#* Jouni will get data from Sandra. Data already exists for also other than year 2005. Data is in EMEP grid (and is hourly?)
 
#** Ustutt will come back to this within a day and tell what can be provided.
===Formula===
 
{{todo|Take Maud's [[:heande:ERF of heat exposure on mortality|Excel models]] of heat HIA and convert those into R (or Analytica).|Virpi Kollanus, Jouni Tuomisto|project=Intarese, Heimtsa}}
[http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=1096&docver=1&fileid=1096&filever=1&filename=WP4-3%20health%20impact%20model%20heat%20MED-region.xls]
[http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=1095&docver=1&fileid=1095&filever=1&filename=WP4-3%20health%20impact%20model%20heat%20NC-region.xls]
 
:D6=[[Total mortality in the Western Europe]]*0.5 # Only summer months included
:G6=[[ERF for heat exposure and mortality]]
:I6='inputvariable per grid-city'!D19-'inputvariable per grid-city'!C19 #[[Heat exposure in Europe]] (scenario-baseline)
:N6=(((EXP(I6*$G6))-1)/(EXP(I6*$G6))) #PAF (proportional attributable fraction?)
:S6=N6*'inputvariable per grid-city'!D6 #PAF*summer mortality
 
==Result==
 
{{resultlink}}
 
==See also==
 
* [http://en.opasnet.org/en-opwiki/index.php?title=Health_effects_of_urban_heat_islands&oldid=16759 Discussion with Rainer, Jouni, and Alex 6.7.2010]
 
==References==
 
<references/>
 
==Related files==
 
{{mfiles}}

Latest revision as of 13:47, 12 November 2010



Scope

Definition

Data

Dependencies

Unit

Formula

TODO: {{#todo:Take Maud's Excel models of heat HIA and convert those into R (or Analytica).|Virpi Kollanus, Jouni Tuomisto|Intarese, Heimtsa}}

[1] [2]

D6=Total mortality in the Western Europe*0.5 # Only summer months included
G6=ERF for heat exposure and mortality
I6='inputvariable per grid-city'!D19-'inputvariable per grid-city'!C19 #Heat exposure in Europe (scenario-baseline)
N6=(((EXP(I6*$G6))-1)/(EXP(I6*$G6))) #PAF (proportional attributable fraction?)
S6=N6*'inputvariable per grid-city'!D6 #PAF*summer mortality

Result

{{#opasnet_base_link:Op_en4577}}


See also

References


Related files

<mfanonymousfilelist></mfanonymousfilelist>

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