User:Mohammad Shahidehnia

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Homework 1:

  • What is shared understanding?

In open policy practices for decision making, Shared understanding is the situation when all participants can understand what decision options are considered, what outcomes are of interest, what objectives are pursued, what facts, opinions and disagreements are exist and why they are existing and finally why a particular decision option was selected. Shared understanding does not mean that everyone is agreed with the selected option, but it means that everyone understands the whole picture. So the idea of shared understanding is to make all the participants understand the problem to come up with an integrated selected solution and inform everybody about this solution.


  • What are co-creation skills?

Co-creation skills and facilitation which is sometimes also called interactional expertise are the capabilities that are needed in an open policy practice. Co-creation skills are needed to manage the decision making process to produce good, informed decision and ultimately good outcome. Co- creation skills and facilitation is not a method of its own but rather a collection of skills that are needed to execute and manage an open decision process in practice. Some of these skills are: encouragement, synthesis, open data and modelling.


  • What is open assessment?


Open assessment is a method for making impact assessments where anyone can participate and contribute. Most open assessments have been made in Opasnet which is a wiki based web workspace specially designed for this purpose. The open assessment method has been developed in the national institute for health and welfare in Finland originally for proving guidance in complex environmental health problems. It has been applied on air pollution and pollutants in fish until now. format User:Mohammad Shahidehnia

----#: . If you make a link to the same page, it will be shown as bold instead of a link (because the link would go to where you already are). --Jouni (talk) 11:07, 22 March 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

----#: . Corrected --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 09:47, 30 March 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)
----#: . Also use external links. --Jouni (talk) 09:23, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

Homework2 :

Capture 2

Table caption
Warrfarin 0.5 Warrfarin 0.3
Does1 10/mg Dose2 15/mg
1 Tablet 0.5 Tablet
The table's caption
Drug Warrfarin Warrfarin
Dose 10 mg 5 mg
Tablet 1 tablet/day 2 tablet/day
User:Mohammad Shahidehnia(nro)
ObsDrug WarrfarinWarrfarin
1Dose10 mg5 mg
2Tablet1 Tablet/day2 Tablet/day

⇤--#: . Your table is technically correct but it does not make sense. Based on what I see, you want to have two indices: one is called Drug, and the second index is a common name for Tablet and Dose. I would suggest Observation, as that is what we use when we have several different observations listed in a table format. Second, there are two different drugs, so there are two locations of the index Drug, namely Drug 1 and Drug 2. Third, the unit could be mg or tablet/day, or actually both: "mg, tablet/d". If you think of the structure of the table, it would make more sense to have different drugs on rows and different things observed (Tablet, Dose) as columns. The general idea is that when different things are observed, each type of observation is on its own column. Each row has new observations of those same things. Can you update your table based on these instructions? --Jouni (talk) 09:23, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)

←--#: . Corrected --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 10:21, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: defence)
⇤--#: . This was not what I meant. See my example table below. I use prettytable format, but you should use t2b format. --Jouni (talk) 13:55, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)←--#: . Corrected --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 07:09, 22 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: defence)
Recommended drug dosages (mg/tablet, tablets/d)
Drug Strength Dose
Warfarin 10 1.5
Digoxin 0.1 1
Recommended drug dosages (mg/tablet, tablets/d)
Drug Strength Dose
Warfarin 10 mg 2 tablets/day
Digoxin 5 mg 1tablet/day

In this case, Drug is an index that separates the two observations (doses of warfarin and digoxin) from each other. I also renamed the two columns to be more explicit: dose here means the amount of tablets per patient per day. In your table it was not clear whether dose means mg/tablet or mg/person/d.

R code

The example code below prints out the user selected values for variables a,b,c and d. Press the 'Run code'-button to execute.

a:

b:
..

Fruit:

Cars:
Ferrari
Porsche
Lamborghini

Slaider:

+ Show code

Homework 3:

  • Question 1: When we are editing and something goes wrong, How is it possible to undo ?
  • Question 2: When we respond to the teachers comments, Do we need to clean them or leave them for cheking ?

Homework 4:

Dust storm in south of Iran causes lots of environmental impacts and health problems for the country:


----#: . Add categories and moderator above. --Jouni (talk) 13:52, 30 March 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

⇤--#: . Corrected --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 09:27, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)
⇤--#: . What I mean is that you should replace the above texts "ADD A CATEGORY" and "ADD YOUR USERNAME" with correct information. --Jouni (talk) 14:07, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)←--#: . Corrected --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 10:23, 7 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: defence)

Scope

Question

Is this right that citizens of Ahvaz city are more at risk of having respiratory problems such as allergic reactions, asthma, chronic obstractive pulmonary diseases, coronary arterial disease or even different kind of cancers because of having one of the most polluted air in the world?

----#: . OK, now question is more precise. But do you mean risk in general or risk caused by dust storms? --Jouni (talk) 14:07, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment) ----#: . Corrected --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 10:25, 7 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

Intended use and users

Ahvaz city inhabitants. Results of this assessment will be available for decision makers to visit and they will be informed by the municipality of Ahvaz city. The results are used in DARM course as an experimental exercise.

----#: . HOW do you expect the inhabitants to use your assessment? Do they actually read your report? Or is there a public education campaign or similar? If there is, the person who organises the campaign is actually your main user. --Jouni (talk) 14:07, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment) ←--#: . Corrected --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 10:29, 7 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: defence)

Participants

Paula Maatela / Mohammad Shahidehnia, Citizens, assessors and decision makers of Ahvaz, open participation

----#: . Would some extra hands help your work? From whom? --Jouni (talk) 13:52, 30 March 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)←--#: . No, this will be done based on the web information that we can collect --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 09:55, 31 March 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: defence) ----#: . corrected --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 09:55, 31 March 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

Boundaries

----#: . Here you should explain temporal, geographical etc boundaries of the assessment. Also, what health impacts are looked at in the assessment? Are other impacts (money, CO2,...) looked at? --Jouni (talk) 19:25, 14 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment) {{comment|# |Corrected|--Paula Maatela (talk)

  • Temporal boundaries: from present to 2030
  • Sand storms originated from Iraq site, success of bilateral problem solving
  • Health impact of particular matter (PM10, PM2,5 and PM1), morbidity (allergic reactions, asthma, chronic obstractive pulmonary diseases, coronary arterial disease), mortality.
  • Impacts on the economy of the city (The governor of province have announced to stop working during dust storm, only police, fire brigade and health care (hospitals) function during dust storms. [1].
  • Impacts on the contentment of citizens
  • Impacts on the value of properties


Scenarios

  • Preventing the formation of dust storms by planting or wooding the ground, or by other way to bind the dust to ground.
  • and/or equip houses with high efficiency air filters
  • and/or citizens stay at home during dust storms
  • Continue as usual

Decisions

Options recognised to mitigate or eliminate the adversal effect of dust storms:

  • Preventing the formation of dust storms by planting or wooding the ground, or by other way to bind the dust to ground
  • and/or equip houses with high efficiency air filters
  • and/or citizens stay at home during dust storms

The most important activities Planning and Development Assistance in Ahvaz has planned to do for solving this problem:

  • Regulation and a municipal council in Ahvaz and track bills take its decisions Ahvaz municipal planning and monitoring of IT projects and supervision of Plan, implement and evaluate the sustainable development of Ahvaz.
  • The preparation of the municipal budget and supervising its implementation.
  • Implementation and deployment of Municipal Information Systems.
  • Design and implementation of quality management systems.
  • Improving municipal financial system in Ahvaz.
  • Study, design and implementation of budgeting.
  • Conducting qualitative research projects and studies.
  • Review and reform of municipal Staff training.
  • Conducting a precise statistics in the city of Ahvaz to have the precise information about the health effects of the dust storm.
  • Publishing a think room in the level of management and decision making[2]<refhttp://planning.ahvaz.ir/Default.aspx?tabid=178&articleType=ArticleView&articleId=24751</ref>.

To solve the problem, International meetings are required between Iran and Iraq to stabilize the dust in Iraq side and stop them from flying. This may happen by forest production or using stabilizers on the land to prevent dust storm. Unfortunately both two countries have some political internal problems which makes the team working on this case almost impossible.

----#: . Here, you should explain what decision options are considered. Typically, the assessment results are used to recommend some of the options to the decision maker. --Jouni (talk) 19:25, 14 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment) {{comment|# |Corrected|--Paula Maatela (talk)


Timing

There was no information about timing until now in our sources. To my knowledege, no timing and future plan is available between Iran and Iraq for solving this problem. Timing of the assessment: From present to 2030.

----#: . You should describe the timing of your assessment. --Jouni (talk) 19:25, 14 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment) {{comment|# |Corrected|--Paula Maatela (talk)

Answer

Results

Origin and characterization of particles:

Mechanically produced particles: Wind blown dust, Sea salt droplets, pollens, Volcanic eruption, Traffic related road dust, Dusts from industries and energy plants.

Sowlat et al.,2012[3], have found possible sources of total suspended particles (TSP) in Ahvaz as follows: crustal dust/soil (56%), road dust (7%), motor vehicles (8%), marine aerosols (9%), secondary aerosols (7%), metallurgical plants (4.5%) and petrochemical plants and fossil fuel combustion (8.5%). Crustal dust has higher relative contributions during spring and summer, and motor vehicles during fall and winter. Mean concentration of TSP and PM10 were 1481.5 and 1072.9 μg/m3, respectively. PM10 concentrations during dust days were 1353.6 μg/m3 and during non-dust days 371.3 μg/m3. During Middle Eastern Dust storm the particle concentrations observed were generally higher than those observed during the Asian dust storms. This implies the importance of Middle Eastern Dust impact on the air quality of the Ahvaz region [4]. Overall mean values of 319.6 - 407.07, 69.5 - 83.2, and 37.02 - 34.9 mg/m3 were obtained for PM10, PM2.5, and PM1, respectively [5].

Dust storms can pick and transport bacteria, pollen spores, fungi and viruses, as well as anthropogenic material as a result of particulate/pollutant aerolization and they can also adsorb material such as heavy metals and pesticides [6].

Dust storm frequencies were 29, 33, 55, 45 and 17 in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009, respectively. In some cases, it has lasted for 48–72 h [7].

Health problems associated with particular matter:

Ahvaz has the world's worst air pollution according to a survey by the World Health Organization in 2011. One of the crucial measures of dangerous air pollution is the amount and number of small particles in the air. These particles are with size of 10 μm or less.

WH0: 350 000 premature deaths are caused by PM 2.5. The air quality in Ahvaz, Iran, in other words, is over five times as bad as the air the typical person breathes. These particulate matters are causes of respiratory illnesses, asthma, even cancer.

Increased diseases in Ahvaz city in compare with other cities of the country:

  • Inflammation: respiratory tract, blood circulation, heart, brain (PM, O3)
  • Increased blood coagulation: arterial thrombosis, worsening of coronary arterial disease (PM)
  • Influences on autonomic nervous system: respiratory symptoms and reduced lung functions (PM, O3, SO2, NO2, VOC), disturbance of cardiac rhythm (PM)
  • DNA-damage in respiratory epithelial cells: increased risk of lung cancer (e.g. PAHs, As, Ni, Cr and Cd in PM)

Who are susceptible to air pollution?

  • Fetus, newborns and young children (5 years of age, whose lungs and airways haven’t yet developed fully).
  • Asthmatic subjects at all ages (inhaled glucocortico-steroids have greatly reduced mortality).
  • Subjects affected by chronic cardiopulmonary disorders
  • Elderly (>65-year-old) subjects with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or coronary arterial disease.
  • Diabetes, genetic factors, poor nutritional status, poorly treated chronic disease etc. can increase individual susceptibility.


Conclusions

Not yet available

Rationale

Not yet available

Stakeholders

Over 1,432,965 inhabitants, in 796,239 families are living in Ahvaz [8].

Dependencies

The problem solving is pretty much depend on the team working between Iraq and Iran to control the dust wind coming from Iraq to Iran.

The governor of province have announced to stop working during dust storm, only police, fire brigade and health care (hospitals) function during dust storms. Practical recommendation to mitigate effects of outdoor air on indoor air quality is installing air conditioning which is equipped with HEPA or ULPA filter in such places. [9]

Analyses

Background information for analyses:

WHO air quality guidelines 2000 - 1 [10]

  • Recommendations for the management of outdoor and indoor pollutant-induced health risks given as guidelines:
  • The highest ”low-risk” pollutant concentrations for non-carcinogenic substances at selected, critical averaging times (e.g. 1-h, 8-h, 24-h, one year) to prevent short-term peak exposures and long-term exposures, and their health outcomes (18 pollutants in WHO 2000 & WHO 2005)
  • Guidelines for 30-min average concentration of pollutants causing acute sensory effects or annoyance reactions (6 pollutants in WHO 2000)


WHO air quality guidelines 2000 - 2 [11]

Linear unit risk assessment for a lifetime exposure to a theoretical equal mass concentration (1 μg/m3) of airborne carcinogenic substances to prevent cancer, most often in the respiratory tract but with some substances also in other target organs:

  • A unit risk of 10-4 for a toxic substance means 100 extra cancer cases in a population of 1 million people exposed to a lifetime pollutant concentration of 1 μg/m3.
  • If in a real-life situation the annual concentration of this toxic substance is 10 ng/m3, the estimated risk is only 1 extra cancer case per 1 million people exposed to this concentration for a lifetime.
  • Similarly, the estimated risk is only 1 extra cancer case at the toxic substance concentration of 1 μg/m3, if the exposed population is only 10000 people.

The WHO has suggested that the number of respiratory deaths attributed to PM10 has a 1.2% increase as the default for a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM10 [12].

According to WHO the acceptable one year mean value of PM10 is 20 μm/m3 and the acceptable 24 h mean value is 50 μg/m3. The EU has set one year mean values for PM2.5 and PM10 to be 25 μg/m3 and 40 μg/m3, respectively. 24 h mean value of PM10 is set to 50 μg/m3. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) regards 24 h PM2.5 levels between 35.5 and 55.4 μg/m3 to be unhealthy for sensitive groups, 55.5–150.4 μg/m3 as being unhealthy, 150.5–250.4 μg/m3 as being very unhealthy, and 250.4–500 μg/m3 as hazardous to human. The WHO has suggested that the number of respiratory deaths attributed to PM10 has a 1.2% increase as the default for a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM10 [13],[14].

⇤--#: . See my corrections to your lists (use View history). --Jouni (talk) 14:07, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)

Indices

Calculations

Coarse thoracic particles (PM10-2.5; diameter 2.5-10μm):
Mainly road dust containing soil minerals, biological material (pollens, plant debris) and microbial material (bacteria, spores, endotoxins); deposit mainly to trachea and larger bronchi; quick removal by mucociliary clearance (hours-days).

See also

Keywords

Ahvaz, Ahvaz pollution, Dust storm

References

  1. ↑ Zahra Soleimani, Gholamreza Goudarzi, Kazem Naddafi, Batool Sadeghinejad, Seyed Mahmoud Latif, Najmeh Parhizgari, Nadali Alavi, Ali Akbar Babaei, Mohammad Reza Akhoond, Mehran Khaef, Hassan Dehdari Rad, Mohammad Javad Mohammadi, Abbas Shahsavani, 2013, Determination of culturable indoor airborne fungi during normal and dust event days in Ahvaz, Iran, Aerobiologia, 29:279–290
  2. ↑ http://en.trend.az/iran/society/2363206.html
  3. ↑ Sowlat, M.H., Naddafi, K,Yunesian, M., Peter L. Jackson, P.L. and Abbas Shahsavani, A., 2012, Source Apportionment of Total Suspended Particulates in an Arid Area in Southwestern Iran Using Positive Matrix Factorization, Bull Environ Contam Toxicol, 88:735–740
  4. ↑ Abbas Shahsavani, Kazem Naddafi, Nematollah Jaafarzadeh Haghighifard, Alireza Mesdaghinia, Masud Yunesian, Ramin Nabizadeh, Mohamad Arhami, Maryam Yarahmadi, Mohammad Hossein Sowlat, Maryam Ghani, Ahmad Jonidi Jafari, Mahmood Alimohamadi, Seyed Abbas Motevalian and Zahra Soleimani, 2012, Characterization of ionic composition of TSP and PM10 during the Middle Eastern Dust (MED) storms in Ahvaz, Iran, Environ Monit Assess, 184:6683–6692.
  5. ↑ A. Shahsavania, K. Naddafi, N. Jafarzade Haghighifard, A. Mesdaghiniaa, M. Yunesian, Nabizadeh, M. Arahami, M.H. Sowlat, M. Yarahmadi, H. Saki, M. Alimohamadi, S. Nazmara, S.A. Motevalian, G. Goudarzi, 2012, The evaluation of PM10 PM2.5, and PM1 concentrations during the Middle Eastern Dust (MED) events in Ahvaz, Iran, from April through September 2010, Journal of Arid Environments 77, 72-83
  6. ↑ Andrew S. Goudie, 2014, Review: Desert dust and human health disorders, Environment International 63, 101–113
  7. ↑ Zahra Soleimani, Gholamreza Goudarzi, Kazem Naddafi, Batool Sadeghinejad, Seyed Mahmoud Latif, Najmeh Parhizgari, Nadali Alavi, Ali Akbar Babaei, Mohammad Reza Akhoond, Mehran Khaef, Hassan Dehdari Rad, Mohammad Javad Mohammadi, Abbas Shahsavani, 2013, Determination of culturable indoor airborne fungi during normal and dust event days in Ahvaz, Iran, Aerobiologia, 29:279–290
  8. ↑ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ahvaz
  9. ↑ Zahra Soleimani, Gholamreza Goudarzi, Kazem Naddafi, Batool Sadeghinejad, Seyed Mahmoud Latif, Najmeh Parhizgari, Nadali Alavi, Ali Akbar Babaei, Mohammad Reza Akhoond, Mehran Khaef, Hassan Dehdari Rad, Mohammad Javad Mohammadi, Abbas Shahsavani, 2013, Determination of culturable indoor airborne fungi during normal and dust event days in Ahvaz, Iran, Aerobiologia, 29:279–290
  10. ↑ WHO; EU Clean Air for Europe, CAFE 2005
  11. ↑ WHO; EU Clean Air for Europe, CAFE 2005
  12. ↑ Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand, Hassan Amini and Masud Yunesian, 2013, Comments on: The evaluation of PM10, PM2.5, and PM1 concentrations during the Middle Eastern Dust (MED) events in Ahvaz, Iran, from April through September 2010 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv 2011.09.007), Journal of Arid Environments 97 (2013) 1–2
  13. ↑ http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/191fs313/en/
  14. ↑ http://ec.europa.eu/environment/air/quality/standards.htm


Here is an example of a reference[1]: you put the ref-tag within the text, and the reference information will show up where the references-tag is located. Note: nowiki-tag is used to show the wiki code on the page, it is not used when making references!


⇤--#: . Using references in HW2 means that you know how to use the ref-tag. --Jouni (talk) 13:52, 30 March 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)

⇤--#: . Corrected --Mohammad Shahidehnia (talk) 10:04, 31 March 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)
⇤--#: . See my example above about using ref-tag. --Jouni (talk) 19:22, 6 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)


  1. ↑ This is the reference.

Homework 5:

Write your answers on either group member's user page (other member adds a link to the answers on his/her user page).

Questions:

• What are the aims/goals of the strategy/program, i.e. what are the desired impacts and outcomes striven for? o Who are those that benefit if the aims/goals of the strategy/program are reached? Adaptation strategy against climate changes. The adaptation strategy is divided into two parts. The first part, describes the goals, challenges and fields of action in adapting to climate change. The second part, due to be available by the end of 2013, will build on this, presenting a plan of action which brings together specific adaptation measures. The first part of the strategy considers how we can adapt in a range of areas, from water management, natural hazard management, agriculture and forestry to energy, tourism, biodiversity management, health and spatial development. Fields of action for adapting in these sectors are defined, adaptation goals formulated and possible ways of achieving these goals outlined. The interfaces between ways of adapting to climate change in the different sectors are also described. These should allow us to use existing synergies in adapting to climate change to the full, and avoid and resolve conflicting objectives. • What are the actions that are needed/intended to take in order to progress towards the aims/goals? o Who are those that actually realize these actions?

• What are the decisions that are needed to make in order to enable/promote the actions? o Who are the decision makers? The FOEN is responsible both for drafting the first part of the adaptation strategy and for coordinating the drafting of the action plan. 1. The adaptation strategy forms the basis for the federal offices’ coordinated course of action for adapting to climate change. This is a long-term task. • What direct or indirect health impacts, positive or negative, these decisions and actions (may) have? o Where and how do these impacts take place, who are those that face these health impacts in practice?The community,the citizens, o Are the health impacts big or small in relation to other impacts (e.g. economical, social, climate, other environmental, ...)? o Do the intended policies result in win-win, win-lose, lose-win, or lose-lose situations with regard to health and other impacts? The longer periods of warmth will allow insects to form additional generations. Mobility and climate change favour the spread of and increase in the number of harmful organisms, and this may cause enormous loss or damage to landscapes and forests. Human and animal health may be adversely affected by the appearance of new pathogens and their hosts and vectors. In some parts of the country, the tiger mosquito and the Asian bush mosquito have already become established as potential disease carriers. For people who suffer from a pollen allergy, the spread of the highly allergenic ambrosia species is an additional burden. The invasive behaviour of alien species also has an impact on biodiversity. Habitats such as wetlands and watercourses are already adversely affected by the presence of certain invasive species. • Formulate a plausible and meaningful specific assessment question that takes account of (some of) the aspects considered in above questions. • Extra question: In what ways your answers do or do not represent "shared understanding"? (The climate program/strategy can be considered a compilation of contributions by many experts and attempting to reflect the views and needs of different decision makers and stakeholders)

Homework 9:

Climate change policies in Helsinki <- new("ovariable", name = "Climate change policies in Helsinki", data = data)

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