Food and agriculture related climate and health impacts

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This page is a knowledge crystal of subtype assessment. The page identifier is Op_en3940
Moderator:Miranda Loh (see all)

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Based on the assessment done in Friel S et al. 2009. Public health benefits of strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions: food and agriculture. Health and Climate Series 4, The Lancet. [1]

Scope

Purpose

Describe strategies that would allow the food and agricultural sector to meet the targets recommended by the UK Committee on Climate change and quantify these strategies' main effects on health.

Boundaries

Spatial:

UK
Sao Paulo, Brazil

Temporal:

Baseline = 2010
Future projection = 2030

Population: Adult

Policy strategies:

Improve efficiency of livestock farming
Increase carbon capture through management of land use
Improve manure management
Decrease dependence on fossil fuel inputs

Scenarios

   * Scenarios define particular conditions that are of interest irrespective whether they describe 
     reality or not (e.g. what-if scenarios).

Intended users

   * Intended users are those for whom the assessment is made.

Participants

   * Participants are those who may participate in the making of the assessment. 
     The minimum group of people for a successful assessment is always described. 
     If some groups must be excluded, this must be explicitly motivated.

Definition

Decision variables

UK technological change to reduce emissions in agriculture
UK technological change and reduced livestock production
Reduction in dietary intake of saturated fat and cholesterol from animal sources

Indicators

Health outcomes from:
- Dietary intake of saturated fate (DALYs, YLL, premature deaths)
- Serum cholesterol concentrations (YLL, premature deaths)

Agricuture sector greenhouse gas emissions

Value variables

   * Value variables: value judgements (usually about indicators).

Other variables

Animal source saturated fat intake
Dietary chlesterol intake
Serum cholesterol concentrations
Livestock production
Hazard ratio for dietary intake of saturated fat and disability from ischaemic heart disease > 35 years age
Hazard ratio for dietary intake of saturated fat and death from ischaemic heart disease > 35 years age
Hazard ratio for serum cholesterol concentration and death from ischaemic heart disease
Stroke burden of diesease

Analyses

Comparative risk assessment

Indices

Age and gender UK
Age and gender Sao Paulo

Result

Results

Conclusions

   * Conclusions are based on the results, given the scope.

References