ERF for heat exposure and mortality

This page is a knowledge crystal of subtype variable. The page identifier is Op_en3436
Moderator:Virpi Kollanus (see all)
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Scope

Exposure-response relationship for short-term heat exposure and mortality.

Dimensions and boundaries relevant for the variable

• Cause of death
• Country/other geographic area (differences in heat exposure/effects due to climate, physiological, cultural or behavioral factors)
• Age of exposed population

Definition

Data

PHEWE-project

Meta-analytical percent changes in mortality by age-group with 1^oC increase in maximum apparent temperature above the city-specific threshold temperature in European cities

		Mediterranean cities		North-continental cities
Cause of death	Age (years)	% change	95% Cl	% change	95% Cl
All natural causes	All	3.12	0.60, 5.73	1.84	0.06, 3.64
	15-64	0.92	-1.29, 3.13	1.31	-0.94, 3.72
	65-74	2.13	-0.42, 4.74	1.65	-0.51, 3.89
	75+	4.22	1.33, 7.20	2.07	0.24, 3.89
Cardiovascular	All	3.70	0.36, 7.04	2.44	-0.09, 5.32
	15-64	0.57	-2.47, 3.83	1.04	-2.20, 4.92
	65-74	1.92	-1.49, 5.35	1.50	-1.12, 4.62
	75+	4.66	1.13, 8.18	2.55	-0.24, 5.51
Respiratory	All	6.71	2.43, 11.26	6.10	2.46, 11.08
	15-64	1.54	-3.68, 7.22	3.02	-1.55, 7.42
	65-74	3.37	-1.46, 8.22	3.90	-0.16, 8.92
	75+	8.10	3.24, 13.37	6.62	3.04, 11.42

• Meta-analytical estimates are based studies in the following cities:
  • Mediterranean cities: Athens, Rome, Barcelona, Valencia, Turin, Milan, Lubljana
  • North-continental cities: Prague, Budapest, Zurich, Paris, Helsinki, Stockholm, London, Dublin
• Based on climate and mortality data for the period 1990-2000
• Exposure assessment: daily maximum apparent outdoor air temperature (nearest airport weather station of each city)