Climate change policy assessment

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The meta-level research question: What is a good scope for this assessment such that

  • it relates to the impacts of climate change mitigation policies,
  • it may relate to the impacts of climate change as such,
  • the assessment covers a wide range of existing assessments within Intarese, Heimtsa, Hiwate, USTUTT, and KTL,
  • the assessment has direct policy relevance for a high-profile policy process, e.g. COP-15 (Dec 2009) or Conference of Environment and Health Ministers of Europe (early 2010?),
  • the parts of the assessment have shared parts, such as population data, future trends of climate, and/or international policies such as emission trade systems,
  • the assessment shows clear synergism in working collaboratively between its parts?

Scope

Purpose

A tentative research questions:D↷

  • What are the impacts of climate change in Europe?
  • What are the impacts of climate change mitigation in Europe?

Boundaries

  • Population in Europe
  • Time 2008-2050
  • Climate patterns in the future based on IPCC results and predictions.

Scenarios

Intended users

Participants

Definition

Variables

Learn about these other assessments and make suggestions about how that assessment could be merged into this larger assessment. Tasks are tentatively distributed to people, but you can suggest and comment on any study.

Variables that may be useful in this assessment:

Ideas about common issues

WP3.1 Transport

  • Topic is to study environmentally friendly zones (limiting car driving) or congestion charge zones within cities.
  • Case cities are Rome, London, the Hague, Helsinki, Barcelona
    • Rome, London, the Hague: Environmentally friendly zones (driving restrictions based on emissions of the car)
    • Helsinki Congestion charges
    • Barcelona: ?
  • Impacts: PM2.5 and health; greenhouse gas emissions, traffic noise and health and annoyance.
  • Shared variables (possibly)
    • PM2.5 emission
    • PM2.5 exposure
    • PM2.5 ERF
    • CO2 emission
  • Shared frameworks:
    • City-level assessment


WP3.4 Drinking water

  • Topic is to study health impacts of As (cancer) and trihalomethanes (THM; cancer, birth defects) in drinking water.
  • Case countries: Spain, Finland, Hungary, Romania, United Kingdom.
  • Impacts assessed:
    • CC impacts on runoff and contamination of raw water
    • CC impacts on availability of raw water
    • Shift from bottled water to tap water as a means to reduce the ecological footprint and CC change of drinking water.
  • Shared frameworks:
    • City-level assessment (or rather: waterworks-level assessment)


WP3.7 UV

  • Rome, Helsinki, London population for years 2001, 2030, 2050
    • Population size and structure
  • Linkages between ozone depletion/recovery and global warming (see report draft Fig.1)
  • Data:
    • Life tables for each age group (YLL) for Italy, UK, Finland 2000
    • DALY
    • O3, aerosols, temperature (cooling/warming)
    • IPCC scenarios
    • Incidence and mortality rates
  • Impacts:
    • Premature mortality, Costs

Second pass thoughts (from report draft):

  • More EU cities/EU-wide assessment
  • More policy scenarios for O3/UV
  • Elaborate links with CC and health



Bioher

  • Energy production (single house and small energy plant level)
  • Population (2000-10000 inh.)
  • Exposure for PM2.5
  • ER-functions for PM2.5
  • PM2.5 emissions (->health effects)
  • PM2.5 climate effect (-> health effects)
  • Household heating scenarios:
    • Heavy/ light oil, wood chips, pellets
  • Atmospheric thermal impact
  • DALY
  • Impacts:
    • Premature mortality
    • Costs

Common methods that are probably needed


Pages that are not probably needed:

Analyses

Result

Results

Conclusions

See also