Goherr/WP6
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Work package 6: Decision support model for integrated governanceIn WP6 a Bayesian decision support model for the integrated governance of Baltic salmon and herring is built. The model combines the results from work packages 2, 3, 4 and 5. The model is used to analyze the impact of salmon and herring and their management on each other, on the dioxin concentration and on human health under different scenarios, and the impact of the different management options on these. The management options used relate to a) reducing dioxin in salmon and herring, b) sustainable use of salmon and herring, c) reducing eutrophication and d) guiding the consumption of salmon and herring. The aim is to explore how different management options could benefit the society in terms of reduced dioxin in fish and ensure sustainable catches for both species. Fishers’ commitment to the decision options that relate to fishing is also analyzed. Most importantly, the decision support tool is used to elaborate the success of different types of governance structures in implementing ecosystem based management, and their consequences from the perspective of decisions. It will also be analyzed, which is the most beneficial governance level to involve stakeholders, when the aim is to enhance fishers’ commitment to management decisions. The tool enables an integrated risk analysis for examining biological, cultural, and governance-related uncertainties in relation to biological, social and governance-related utilities. Objectives Holistic decision analysis of Baltic salmon and herring fisheries and management measures aiming at social, biological, and health-related utilities.
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