ERF for heat exposure and mortality

This page is a knowledge crystal of subtype variable. The page identifier is Op_en3436
Moderator:Virpi Kollanus (see all)
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Scope

This includes a verbal definition of the spatial, temporal, and other limits
(system boundaries) of the variable. The scope is defined according to the use
purpose of the assessment(s) that the variable belongs to.

Exposure-response relationship for short-term heat exposure and mortality.

Dimensions and boundaries relevant for the variable

• Cause of death
• Country/other geographic area (differences in heat exposure/effects due to climate, physiological, cultural or behavioral factors)
• Age of exposed population

Definition

Data

PHEWE-project

Meta-analytical percent changes in mortality by age-group with 1^oC increase in maximum apparent temperature above the city-specific threshold temperature in European cities

		Mediterranean cities		North-continental cities
Cause of death	Age (years)	% change	95% Cl	% change	95% Cl
All natural causes	All	3.12	0.60, 5.73	1.84	0.06, 3.64
	15-64	0.92	-1.29, 3.13	1.31	-0.94, 3.72
	65-74	2.13	-0.42, 4.74	1.65	-0.51, 3.89
	75+	4.22	1.33, 7.20	2.07	0.24, 3.89
Cardiovascular	All	3.70	0.36, 7.04	2.44	-0.09, 5.32
	15-64	0.57	-2.47, 3.83	1.04	-2.20, 4.92
	65-74	1.92	-1.49, 5.35	1.50	-1.12, 4.62
	75+	4.66	1.13, 8.18	2.55	-0.24, 5.51
Respiratory	All	6.71	2.43, 11.26	6.10	2.46, 11.08
	15-64	1.54	-3.68, 7.22	3.02	-1.55, 7.42
	65-74	3.37	-1.46, 8.22	3.90	-0.16, 8.92
	75+	8.10	3.24, 13.37	6.62	3.04, 11.42

• Meta-analytical estimates are based studies in the following cities:
  • Mediterranean cities: Athens, Rome, Barcelona, Valencia, Turin, Milan, Lubljana
  • North-continental cities: Prague, Budapest, Zurich, Paris, Helsinki, Stockholm, London, Dublin
• Based on climate and mortality data for the period 1990-2000
• Exposure assessment: daily maximum apparent outdoor air temperature (nearest airport weather station of each city)