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| [[Category:Herring]] | | #REDIRECT [[Benefit-risk assessment of Baltic herring and salmon intake]] |
| {{assessment|moderator=Päivi Haapasaari|stub=Yes|status=ongoing}}
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| == Scope ==
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| === Question ===
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| === Intended use and users ===
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| === Participants ===
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| * University of Helsinki: Sakari Kuikka, Päivi Haapasaari, Suvi Ignatius, Kirsi Hoviniemi
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| * National Institute for Health and Welfare (THL): Jouni Tuomisto, Arja Asikainen
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| * University of Oulu: Timo P. Karjalainen, Simo Sarkki, Mia Pihlajamäki
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| * Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU): Anna Gårdmark, Johan Östergren, Magnus Huss, Andreas Bryhn
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| * University of Aalborg/Innovative Fisheries Management (IFM-AAU): Alyne Delaney, Jesper Raakjaer
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| * Stakeholders needed in the assessment: fisher's associations, agricultural/fisheries ministries in Finland, Sweden, Estonia, Denmark.
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| === Boundaries ===
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| * Time considered: 2015 - 2040.
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| * Area considered: Sweden, Finland, Denmark, Estonia. For detailed herring/salmon stock modelling, only the Bothnian Sea and Gulf of Bothnia is considered.
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| * Policies considered: We will build and explore four integrative scenarios for the future of Baltic salmon and herring. See [[Management of Baltic salmon and herring]].
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| * Outcomes considered: threats to and state of the fish stocks; impacts and governance responses. See [[Stakeholders' objectives about Baltic salmon and herring]].
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| === Decisions and scenarios ===
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| See [[Management of Baltic salmon and herring]]. A subset that can be modelled is included in this assessment.
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| Possible management options:
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| * International agreement on fishing quota for salmon
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| * Size-selective fishing of herring
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| * Knowledge actions and fish recommendations
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| * Agricultural policy
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| * Dioxin policy
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| * Etc
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| === Timing ===
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| The assessment started in April 2015. The first stakeholder meeting will be in February 2016. The final results with the full decision support tool will be finalised in March 2018.
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| == Answer ==
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| The work has just started. There is no answer yet.
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| === Results ===
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| === Conclusions ===
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| == Rationale ==
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| [[File:Goherr decision support tool diagram.png|thumb|300px|Goherr causal diagram]]
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| === Stakeholders ===
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| Who will be affected by the decisions?
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| * Professional fishers and their organisations
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| * Anglers and other recreational fishers and their organisations
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| * Land owner fishers and their organisation (they have inherited rights)
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| * Saami people also have inherited rights (in Sweden only?)
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| * Food and fish industry.
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| * Mink and fox farmers
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| * All people utilising recreational values of the Baltic Sea (relates to eutrophication)
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| * Farmers and agricultural sector
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| * Consumers of fish
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| * Producers of fish oil and fish meal
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| * Baltic Sea RAC (Regional Advisory Concil) represents fishers (located in Copenhagen)
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| * Hydropower plant owners
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| Who will affect the decisions?
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| * Food safety organisations (EVIRA, Livsmedelsverket, ...)
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| * Ministries (of agriculture, environment, and commerce)
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| * EU: DG Mare, EU Parliament?
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| * SWAM (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management)
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| Who are interested in the decisions?
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| * Scientists
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| * Environmental NGOs
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| * Bureaucrats
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| * ICES (International Council for the Exploration of the Sea)
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| * Helcom
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| === Dependencies ===
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| {| {{prettytable}}
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| |+ '''Products from workpackages to other workpackages
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| |----
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| ! From|| To|| Deadline|| Page|| Topic
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| |----
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| || WP2|| WP3|| || [[Stakeholders' objectives about Baltic salmon and herring]] || Stakeholder values and objectives
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| |----
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| || WP2, WP3|| WP6|| 2016-01-31|| [[Governance types about the Baltic Sea]] || Alternative governance types
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| |----
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| || WP2|| WP6|| || [[Salmon and herring fishers' commitment to the fishing restrictions]] Fraction of a regulation actually implemented? || Applicability of planned management options in practice
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP6|| || [[Management paths to the objectives about Baltic salmon and herring]] || Normative scenarios (paths that must be taken to reach an objective)
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP6|| || [[Management of Baltic salmon and herring]] || Management options (decisions)
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP4|| || [[Dioxin emissions into the Baltic Sea]] || Trends of dioxin deposition into the Baltic Sea
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP4|| || Eutrophication: [[Cholorophyll A in the Baltic Sea]] (indicator of phosphorus and nitrogen in the water in different areas and times) {{comment|# |How is this actually used?|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 11:26, 22 April 2015 (UTC)}} || Trends of eutrophication of the Baltic Sea
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP5|| 2017-10-31|| [[Baltic herring consumption in Finland]] [[Salmon and herring consumption around the Baltic Sea]] || Trends of fish consumption
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| |----
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| || WP4|| WP5|| 2017-10-31|| [[Salmon and herring populations in the Baltic Sea]] [[Salmon and herring catch in the Baltic Sea]] by time and area and fish size
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| || Predicted salmon and herring stocks by time, area, and size
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| |----
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| || WP4|| WP3, WP5|| 2017-10-31|| [[EU-kalat]] This page is a study about Finnish measurements [[Dioxin concentrations in fish in the Baltic Sea]] this is a variable page based on e.g. [[EU-kalat]] data and [[Goherr]] project results. || Bioaccumulation of dioxins in fish and potential of fishing to change that
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| |----
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| || WP5|| WP6|| 2017-12-31|| [[Health benefits and risks of Baltic herring and salmon]] || Health benefits and risks of Baltic herring and salmon
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| |----
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| || WP5|| WP3, WP6|| 2017-04-30|| [[Reactions of people to fish eating recommendations]] || People's willingness to change consumption patterns based on risk
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| |----
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| || WP5|| WP6|| 2017-04-30|| [[Determinants of fish-eating habits around the Baltic Sea]] || Determinants of fish-eating habits
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| |----
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| |}
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| {{comment|# |Add your suggestions about deadlines!|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 15:32, 22 April 2015 (UTC)}}
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| * WP2 Socio-cultural values and governance
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| * WP3 Scenarios and management
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| * WP4 Fish stock
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| * WP5 Health impacts
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| * WP6 Decision support model
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| === Analyses ===
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| === Indices ===
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| === Calculations ===
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| == See also ==
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| {{goherr}}
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| == Keywords ==
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| Terminology
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| ; Normative scenarios: paths you need to take to reach a defined goal
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| ; Expolorative scenarios: identify key uncertainties and dependencies to describe coherent paths into the future.
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| ; Governance types: How things are managed (e.g. top down command or co-management).
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| ; Management action: Actions to be taken based on decision-maker's decision (i.e. decisions)
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| == References ==
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| <references/>
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| Assmuth Timo and Jalonen Pauliina 2005: Risks and management of dioxin-like compounds in Baltic Sea fish: An integrated assessment. Nordic Council of Ministers, Copenhagen. {{#l:Assmuth Jalonen Dioxin risk assessment 2005.pdf}} [http://www.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:700892/FULLTEXT01.pdf]
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| == Related files ==
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