User:Mari Malinen: Difference between revisions

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= DARM 2015 Homework 4 =
= DARM 2015 Homework 4 =
{{defend|# |Overall, very good draft of an assessment. However, there is still work to do. See comments in text.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


[[Category:Assessment]]  
[[Category:Assessment]]  
{{assessment|moderator=Mari Malinen & Anni Hartikainen|stub=Yes}}
{{assessment|moderator=Mari Malinen|stub=Yes}}
:{{defend|# |Only one user can be the moderator.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


== Scope ==
== Scope ==
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::*How to reduce the per capita carbon dioxide emissions of the Helsinki Metropolitan Area by 39 per cent of the 1990 level by the year 2030?
::*How to reduce the per capita carbon dioxide emissions of the Helsinki Metropolitan Area by 39 per cent of the 1990 level by the year 2030?
{{attack|# |Think your question carefully. If you want to find a good set of actions, it is not enough to look at three scenarios. Instead, you should do an assessment, where you compare and prioritise individual actions in some way (e.g. cost-effectiveness analysis) and select and reject actions based on that. Instead, if you only compare three pre-set scenarios, you cannot know whether they are the best combinations, but you may get a pretty good idea of their health and other impacts.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


=== Intended use and users ===
=== Intended use and users ===
Helsinki Metropolitan area city authorities
Helsinki Metropolitan area city authorities
{{comment|# |How are they going to use the assessment results+|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


=== Participants ===
=== Participants ===
{{comment|# |Participants are people that are needed in the assessment work to produce a good assessment. Therefore, you should also identify roles for all participants.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


*Cities of Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa and Kauniainen  
*Cities of Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa and Kauniainen  
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*YTV specialists in traffic, solid waste management and regional development  
*YTV specialists in traffic, solid waste management and regional development  
 
*: {{comment|# |YTV is nowadays HSY.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}
*representatives of energy companies
*representatives of energy companies


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=== Boundaries ===
=== Boundaries ===
* Area: Helsinki Metropolitan area (Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa and Kauniainen)
* Area: Helsinki Metropolitan area (Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa and Kauniainen)
* Time: Based on years 1990, 2000 and 2004. Estimations made for year 2030.
* Time: Based on years 1990, 2000 and 2004. Estimations made for year 2030.
* Considered sources of GHG emissions:  
* Considered sources of GHG emissions:  
 
**Electric heating
:*Electric heating
**consumption electric power
 
**transport, district heating
:*consumption electric power
**separate heating
 
**industry and machinery
:*transport, district heating
**treatment of solid waste and waste water
 
:*separate heating
 
:*industry and machinery
 
:*treatment of solid waste and waste water


=== Decisions and scenarios ===
=== Decisions and scenarios ===
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=== Timing ===
=== Timing ===
* The decision should be made as soon as possible to achieve best GHG emission reduction
* The decision should be made as soon as possible to achieve best GHG emission reduction
:{{attack|# |Timing is about the schedule of making the assessment, not about taking action.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


== Answer ==
== Answer ==


=== Results ===
=== Results ===
{{attack|# |Results and conclusions do not exist before the assessment is started. Of course, it is possible to present what you think the results will be when the assessment is done, but it should be clearly stated that it is guesswork.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}
{{attack|# |Clarify your question. If the question is ''What are good decisions'', then the result will be a set of decision options like here. If the question is ''What are the impacts of scenarios 1-3'', then the results should be estimates of health impacts, costs etc. for each scenario.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


Trasportation
Trasportation
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=== Dependencies ===
=== Dependencies ===


 
{{comment|# |What kind of things you need to assess to get results? There is no need to go into very detailed description, but some ideas should be presented.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


=== Analyses ===
=== Analyses ===
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= DARM 2015 Homework 5 =
= DARM 2015 Homework 5 =
{{comment|# |You should put a link here to the report you were looking at.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}
{{comment|# |You should mention the group that did this homework.|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


1. ''What are the aims/goals of the strategy/program, i.e. what are the desired impacts and outcomes striven for?''
1. ''What are the aims/goals of the strategy/program, i.e. what are the desired impacts and outcomes striven for?''
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3. ''What are the decisions that are needed to make in order to enable/promote the actions?''
3. ''What are the decisions that are needed to make in order to enable/promote the actions?''


::  
:: {{comment|# |Think about decisions that could enhance or prevent the actual climate|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC)}}


:3.1 ''Who are the decision makers?''
:3.1 ''Who are the decision makers?''
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:4.2 ''Are the health impacts big or small in relation to other impacts (e.g. economical, social, climate, other environmental, ...)?''
:4.2 ''Are the health impacts big or small in relation to other impacts (e.g. economical, social, climate, other environmental, ...)?''


:: Halth impacts would be quite small. Economical and environmental impacts will probably be more significant.
:: Health impacts would be quite small. Economical and environmental impacts will probably be more significant.


:4.3 ''Do the intended policies result in win-win, win-lose, lose-win, or lose-lose situations with regard to health and other impacts?''
:4.3 ''Do the intended policies result in win-win, win-lose, lose-win, or lose-lose situations with regard to health and other impacts?''

Revision as of 08:33, 1 April 2015

Homework 1

What is shared understanding?

  • All participants understand what decision options are considered, desired outcomes, objectives, facts, opinions and disagreements exist and why. Also why a certain decision option is selected.
  • Everyone understands the whole picture without having to agree with each other.


What different purposes are there for participation in assessment and/or decision making?

  • Openness builds trust among participants and outside observers.
  • To make sure all relevant issues are raised and handled properly
  • Through successful critique invalid statements can be ruled out from the assessment


What is benefit-risk assessment?

  • Analyzing different scientific data to compare benefits and risks of an event, activity, food etc.
  • For example assessing use of food additives: do the benefits outweigh possible risks?

←--#: . OK. --Jouni (talk) 10:09, 23 March 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: defence)

DARM 2015 Homework 2

  • How to create a prettytable
Table caption
Column title 0 Column title 1 Column title 2
element 0.1 element 1.1 element 2.1
element 0.2 element 1.2 element 2.2

DARM 2015 Homework 3

  • What could an Universal object be in an assessment?
  • Is the Training assessment similar to the assignment we are going to do during the course?

DARM 2015 Homework 4

←--#: . Overall, very good draft of an assessment. However, there is still work to do. See comments in text. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: defence)


←--#: . Only one user can be the moderator. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: defence)

Scope

Question

  • What measures can be taken in Helsinki Metropolitan area to control climate change by reducing greenhouse gas emissions?
  • How to reduce the per capita carbon dioxide emissions of the Helsinki Metropolitan Area by 39 per cent of the 1990 level by the year 2030?

⇤--#: . Think your question carefully. If you want to find a good set of actions, it is not enough to look at three scenarios. Instead, you should do an assessment, where you compare and prioritise individual actions in some way (e.g. cost-effectiveness analysis) and select and reject actions based on that. Instead, if you only compare three pre-set scenarios, you cannot know whether they are the best combinations, but you may get a pretty good idea of their health and other impacts. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)

Intended use and users

Helsinki Metropolitan area city authorities

----#: . How are they going to use the assessment results+ --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

Participants

----#: . Participants are people that are needed in the assessment work to produce a good assessment. Therefore, you should also identify roles for all participants. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

  • Cities of Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa and Kauniainen
  • A broad range of environmental protection, planning, traffic and public transport specialists from the cities
  • YTV specialists in traffic, solid waste management and regional development
    ----#: . YTV is nowadays HSY. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)
  • representatives of energy companies
  • interest groups

Boundaries

  • Area: Helsinki Metropolitan area (Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa and Kauniainen)
  • Time: Based on years 1990, 2000 and 2004. Estimations made for year 2030.
  • Considered sources of GHG emissions:
    • Electric heating
    • consumption electric power
    • transport, district heating
    • separate heating
    • industry and machinery
    • treatment of solid waste and waste water

Decisions and scenarios

Three considered scenarios

1. Business as usual

  • Emission levels will stay roughly the same
  • Emissions from transport increase, but new legislation improves e.g. energy efficiency

2. Reducing GHG emissions 39 % from the 1990 emission level

3. Continued rapid growth in electricity consumption

  • If energy consuption grows according to forecasted trend, 5 % growth in GHG emissions by 2030 from the 2004 level

Timing

  • The decision should be made as soon as possible to achieve best GHG emission reduction
⇤--#: . Timing is about the schedule of making the assessment, not about taking action. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)

Answer

Results

⇤--#: . Results and conclusions do not exist before the assessment is started. Of course, it is possible to present what you think the results will be when the assessment is done, but it should be clearly stated that it is guesswork. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)

⇤--#: . Clarify your question. If the question is What are good decisions, then the result will be a set of decision options like here. If the question is What are the impacts of scenarios 1-3, then the results should be estimates of health impacts, costs etc. for each scenario. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: attack)

Trasportation

  • Encourage use of public transport
  • Improving competiveness of public transport
  • National taxation policy towards choise of low-emission vehicles

Land use

  • Location of dwellings, workplaces and services to decrease need for trasport
  • growth of traffic and access to district heating
  • Access to public transport

Electricity consumption

  • Improving the awareness of resindents towards more efficient electricity consumption
  • Cities should put a high value to energy efficiency of appliances

Heating of buildings

  • Promoting district heating and cooling
  • Correct use and maintanance of buildings

Procurement, consumption and waste

  • Promoting material and energy efficiency and low emissions in city procurement
  • Prevent solid waste formation
  • Advice population how to avoid solid waste
  • Enhancing material recycling

Energy generation and distribution

  • Enhancing centralised cogeneration of electricity in Helsinki Metropolitan area
  • Promoting eco-efficiency and renewable energy sources of decentralised energy generation

Conclusions

With the proposed improvements listed above it is possible to reach scenario 2: Reducing GHG emissions 39 % from the 1990 emission level.

The measures will be a drain on resources but doing nothing would be even more costly.

Rationale


Stakeholders

  • Cities of Helsinki, Vantaa, Espoo and Kauniainen
  • Citizens of Helsinki, Vantaa, Espoo and Kauniainen
  • Enterprises e.g. energy producers, building companies, waste management
  • Responsible city agencies e.g. environmental agencies, premises center, building supervision, Helsinki City Transport
  • State government
  • NGOs

Dependencies

----#: . What kind of things you need to assess to get results? There is no need to go into very detailed description, but some ideas should be presented. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

Analyses

Indices

Calculations

See also

Keywords

References

Climate Strategy 2030 of Helsinki Metropolitan Area


Related files

DARM 2015 Homework 5

----#: . You should put a link here to the report you were looking at. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

----#: . You should mention the group that did this homework. --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)

1. What are the aims/goals of the strategy/program, i.e. what are the desired impacts and outcomes striven for?

To reduce the per capita carbon dioxide emissions of the Helsinki Metropolitan Area by 39 per cent of the 1990 level by the year 2030. This is to meet the EU 2020 target of reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 20 % of 1990 emission level.
1.1 Who are those that benefit if the aims/goals of the strategy/program are reached?
Citizens of Helsinki Metropolitan area, globally all population, city authorities to meet their target

2. What are the actions that are needed/intended to take in order to progress towards the aims/goals?

Trasportation
  • Encourage use of public transport
  • Improving competiveness of public transport
  • National taxation policy towards choise of low-emission vehicles
Land use
  • Location of dwellings, workplaces and services to decrease need for trasport
  • growth of traffic and access to district heating
  • Access to public transport
Electricity consumption
  • Improving the awareness of resindents towards more efficient electricity consumption
  • Cities should put a high value to energy efficiency of appliances
Heating of buildings
  • Promoting district heating and cooling
  • Correct use and maintanance of buildings
Procurement, consumption and waste
  • Promoting material and energy efficiency and low emissions in city procurement
  • Prevent solid waste formation
  • Advice population how to avoid solid waste
  • Enhancing material recycling
Energy generation and distribution
  • Enhancing centralised cogeneration of electricity in Helsinki Metropolitan area
  • Promoting eco-efficiency and renewable energy sources of decentralised energy generation
2.1 Who are those that actually realize these actions?
Responsible city agencies e.g. environmental agencies, premises center, building supervision, Helsinki City Transport and enterprises e.g. energy producers, building companies and waste management

3. What are the decisions that are needed to make in order to enable/promote the actions?

----#: . Think about decisions that could enhance or prevent the actual climate --Jouni (talk) 08:33, 1 April 2015 (UTC) (type: truth; paradigms: science: comment)
3.1 Who are the decision makers?
Authorities of Helsinki, Espoo, Kauniainen and Vantaa

4. What direct or indirect health impacts, positive or negative, these decisions and actions (may) have?

Decresing cardio and respiratory illnesses by reducing PM, globally hindering the negative health effects of climate change (vector diseases, malaria etc.)
4.1 Where and how do these impacts take place, who are those that face these health impacts in practice?The community,the citizens,
Lowering PM concentrations will impact the local population, global effects will impact a larger population
4.2 Are the health impacts big or small in relation to other impacts (e.g. economical, social, climate, other environmental, ...)?
Health impacts would be quite small. Economical and environmental impacts will probably be more significant.
4.3 Do the intended policies result in win-win, win-lose, lose-win, or lose-lose situations with regard to health and other impacts?
Health and environmental impacts of the intended policies would probably result in win-win situation with regarding each other. With economical impacts the situation would be probably win-lose (environmental and/or health impacts - economical impacts).

5. Formulate a plausible and meaningful specific assessment question that takes account of (some of) the aspects considered in above questions.

How to reduce the per capita carbon dioxide emissions of the Helsinki Metropolitan Area by 39 per cent of the 1990 level by the year 2030 and which health impacts would the made decisions have?

6. Extra question: In what ways your answers do or do not represent "shared understanding"? (The climate program/strategy can be considered a compilation of contributions by many experts and attempting to reflect the views and needs of different decision makers and stakeholders).