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'''Decision analysis and risk management''' is a [https://wiola.uef.fi/weboodi/opintjakstied.jsp?Kieli=1&OpinKohd=21196574 university course] for Master of Science students in Environmental health risk assessment.
'''Decision analysis and risk management''' is a [https://wiola.uef.fi/weboodi/opintjakstied.jsp?Kieli=1&OpinKohd=21196574 university course] for Master of Science students in Environmental health risk assessment.
==Scope==
What is such a good course content that
* it gives a good overview of modern assessment methods,
* is not overlapping with other courses in the MSc program,
* utilises modern web workspaces for learning,
*
==Definition==


Background information from other available Risk assessment study programs are provided here: [[Decision analysis and risk management - background information]]
Background information from other available Risk assessment study programs are provided here: [[Decision analysis and risk management - background information]]
Line 17: Line 27:
{{todo|Develop the course contents and ask for lecturers. DL: 15.11.2010.|Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio}}
{{todo|Develop the course contents and ask for lecturers. DL: 15.11.2010.|Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio}}


{{todo|Develop the lecture contents for those lectures that you give yourself. DL: 1.2.2011? (When is the course exactly?)|Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio}}
{{todo|Develop the lecture contents for those lectures that you give yourself. DL: 1.2.2011.|Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio}}
 
==Scope==
 
==Definition==
 
 
'''Statistics
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Descriptive_statistics list of links to some methods of descriptive statistics]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferential_statistics list of links to many methods inferential statistics]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sensitivity_analysis fairly thorough description of sensitivity analysis]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Propagation_of_uncertainty thorough mathematical description of uncertainty propagation and covariance matrices; nothing about Monte Carlo]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_integration how to integrate with Monte Carlo; not necessary in risk assessment]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calibrated_probability_assessment a short description of training in subjective probabilities]
* [[:en:Frequency probability|Frequency probability]]
* [[:en:Bayesian probability|Bayesian probability]]
* [[:en:Principle of maximum entropy|Principle of maximum entropy]]
 
 
'''Exposure
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exposure_science only a stub]
* [http://cfpub.epa.gov/ncea/cfm/recordisplay.cfm?deid=20563 EPA Exposure factors program interesting for both teaching and opasnet Base]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exposure_assessment some basic concepts of exposure assessment]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biomarkers_of_Exposure_Assessment short description of basic concepts and examples of biomarkers in exposure assessment]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematical_exposure_modeling a short description of exposure modelling with indoor and outdoor air as examples]
* [http://www.nature.com/jes/journal/v15/n1/pdf/7500411a.pdf official ISEA/IPCS exposure glossary -> put to opasnet glossary]
* [http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/es00077a001 total exposure assessment by Paul Lioy (1990)]
* [http://www.epa.gov/ncea/efh/pdfs/efh-chapter02.pdf EPA exposure factors handbook: chapter on uncertainty and variability]
 
 
'''Toxicology
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toxicity general terms and concepts of toxicology]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toxicology a stub with useful links about toxicology]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_effect_concentration measures of toxic pollutant concentrations: short description about NOEC and ECx]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probit_model mathematics of probit model; advanced material]
* [http://potency.berkeley.edu/ the carcinogenic potency database: learn more about this!]
 
 
'''Epidemiology and public health
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemiology good description of basic concepts of epidemiology]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_health a description but mostly about history and other trivia (trivia from RA point of view)]
 
 
'''Risk characterisation
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_aversion a good description of risk aversion with math required]
 
 
'''Risk management
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Security_Risk something about security risk management; not useful]
 
 
'''Risk and impact assessment
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_assessment overview of RA in different fields]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_management a long description of relevant concepts of risk management]
* [http://www.iso.org/iso/iso_catalogue/catalogue_ics/catalogue_detail_ics.htm?csnumber=44651 ISO/IEC guide 73:2009 about risk assessment vocabulary]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk a good description of basic concepts of risk]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_Risk_Assessment_software only a list of software; the software themselves may be interesting but haven't checked]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hazard_identification only a placeholder of hazard identification]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_impact_assessment a brief description of HIA but lots of links]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISO_31000 a short description of a new standard ISO 31000]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_risk_assessment short description of PRA with software links]
* [http://www.epa.gov/risk/ EPA risk assessment website: learn more about it!]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Object_Oriented_Quality_Management Object oriented quality management: interesting idea of Statistics Netherlands; implementation unclear]
 
 
'''Decision analysis and economy
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_overrun description of concept of cost overrun (economy)]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strategic_misrepresentation strategic misinterpretation (underestimation) of budget; an interesting detail related to economy]
* [http://jpart.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/1/4/437 Strategic misrepresentation in budgeting]
* [[:en:Decision theory|Decision theory]] in Wikipedia
* [[Decision theory]] in Opasnet
* [[:en:Prospect theory|Prospect theory]] in Wikipedia
 
 
'''Open assessment
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/How_to_use_Open_Assessment_in_research? a general lecture about the utility of open assessment]
** [http://en.opasnet.org/en-opwiki/images/8/83/Open_assessment_in_research.ppt presentation file related to the lecture]
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/Assessments_-_science-based_decision_support background information about open assessments]
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/Variables_-_evolving_interpretations_of_reality background about variables]
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/Science_necessitates_collaboration background about mass collaboration]
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/Evaluating_assessment_performance evaluating assessment performance]
 
 
'''Miscellaneous
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Agency_for_Safety_and_Health_at_Work very brief description of EU-OSHA]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Institute_of_Risk_Management Institute of Risk Management - gives RA education?]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assessment this is about education assessment and learning philosophy. not very relevant]
* [http://ocw.mit.edu/OcwWeb/web/home/home/index.htm MIT Open CourseWare]


==Result==
==Result==
Line 112: Line 35:
;Abbreviation: DARM     
;Abbreviation: DARM     


===CONTENT===
===Content===


{| {{prettytable}}
{| {{prettytable}}
Line 201: Line 124:
;Degree Programme(s): ToxEn, Environment health risk assessment     
;Degree Programme(s): ToxEn, Environment health risk assessment     


===IMPLEMENTATION===
===Implementation===


;Time: Spring 2011     
;Time: Spring 2011     
Line 231: Line 154:
     
     


===CONTACTS===
===ContactsS===
 
; Organising Departments: Department of environmental science (in collaboration with the National Institute for Health and Welfare)          
; Organising Departments: Department of environmental science (in collaboration with the National Institute for Health and Welfare)          
; Course Director: Jukka Juutilainen     
; Course Director: Jukka Juutilainen     
Line 238: Line 162:
; Registration for the Course: Wossikka     
; Registration for the Course: Wossikka     


===FURTHER INFORMATION===
===Further information===
;Keywords: Risk assessment, decision analysis, Bayesian theory, open assessment, risk management, societal decision making.     
;Keywords: Risk assessment, decision analysis, Bayesian theory, open assessment, risk management, societal decision making.     
;Further Information
;Further Information
Line 249: Line 173:
* [http://www.uku.fi/avoin/ymp_terveys/ Monimediainen oppimisympäristö ympäristöterveydestä]
* [http://www.uku.fi/avoin/ymp_terveys/ Monimediainen oppimisympäristö ympäristöterveydestä]
* [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=538&docver=1&fileid=538&filever=1&filename=Keeney_2006_DecisionSciencePrograms.pdf Keeney (2006): Decision Science programs in the USA]
* [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=538&docver=1&fileid=538&filever=1&filename=Keeney_2006_DecisionSciencePrograms.pdf Keeney (2006): Decision Science programs in the USA]
{| {{prettytable}}
|+ '''Courses and course material on different topics related to risk assessment, decision analysis, and risk management.
|
'''Statistics
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Descriptive_statistics list of links to some methods of descriptive statistics]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferential_statistics list of links to many methods inferential statistics]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sensitivity_analysis fairly thorough description of sensitivity analysis]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Propagation_of_uncertainty thorough mathematical description of uncertainty propagation and covariance matrices; nothing about Monte Carlo]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_integration how to integrate with Monte Carlo; not necessary in risk assessment]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calibrated_probability_assessment a short description of training in subjective probabilities]
* [[:en:Frequency probability|Frequency probability]]
* [[:en:Bayesian probability|Bayesian probability]]
* [[:en:Principle of maximum entropy|Principle of maximum entropy]]
'''Exposure
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exposure_science only a stub]
* [http://cfpub.epa.gov/ncea/cfm/recordisplay.cfm?deid=20563 EPA Exposure factors program interesting for both teaching and opasnet Base]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exposure_assessment some basic concepts of exposure assessment]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biomarkers_of_Exposure_Assessment short description of basic concepts and examples of biomarkers in exposure assessment]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematical_exposure_modeling a short description of exposure modelling with indoor and outdoor air as examples]
* [http://www.nature.com/jes/journal/v15/n1/pdf/7500411a.pdf official ISEA/IPCS exposure glossary -> put to opasnet glossary]
* [http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/es00077a001 total exposure assessment by Paul Lioy (1990)]
* [http://www.epa.gov/ncea/efh/pdfs/efh-chapter02.pdf EPA exposure factors handbook: chapter on uncertainty and variability]
'''Toxicology
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toxicity general terms and concepts of toxicology]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toxicology a stub with useful links about toxicology]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_effect_concentration measures of toxic pollutant concentrations: short description about NOEC and ECx]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probit_model mathematics of probit model; advanced material]
* [http://potency.berkeley.edu/ the carcinogenic potency database: learn more about this!]
|
'''Epidemiology and public health
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemiology good description of basic concepts of epidemiology]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_health a description but mostly about history and other trivia (trivia from RA point of view)]
'''Risk characterisation
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_aversion a good description of risk aversion with math required]
'''Risk management
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Security_Risk something about security risk management; not useful]
'''Risk and impact assessment
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_assessment overview of RA in different fields]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_management a long description of relevant concepts of risk management]
* [http://www.iso.org/iso/iso_catalogue/catalogue_ics/catalogue_detail_ics.htm?csnumber=44651 ISO/IEC guide 73:2009 about risk assessment vocabulary]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk a good description of basic concepts of risk]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_Risk_Assessment_software only a list of software; the software themselves may be interesting but haven't checked]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hazard_identification only a placeholder of hazard identification]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_impact_assessment a brief description of HIA but lots of links]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISO_31000 a short description of a new standard ISO 31000]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_risk_assessment short description of PRA with software links]
* [http://www.epa.gov/risk/ EPA risk assessment website: learn more about it!]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Object_Oriented_Quality_Management Object oriented quality management: interesting idea of Statistics Netherlands; implementation unclear]
|
'''Decision analysis and economy
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_overrun description of concept of cost overrun (economy)]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strategic_misrepresentation strategic misinterpretation (underestimation) of budget; an interesting detail related to economy]
* [http://jpart.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/1/4/437 Strategic misrepresentation in budgeting]
* [[:en:Decision theory|Decision theory]] in Wikipedia
* [[Decision theory]] in Opasnet
* [[:en:Prospect theory|Prospect theory]] in Wikipedia
'''Open assessment
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/How_to_use_Open_Assessment_in_research? a general lecture about the utility of open assessment]
** [http://en.opasnet.org/en-opwiki/images/8/83/Open_assessment_in_research.ppt presentation file related to the lecture]
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/Assessments_-_science-based_decision_support background information about open assessments]
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/Variables_-_evolving_interpretations_of_reality background about variables]
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/Science_necessitates_collaboration background about mass collaboration]
* [http://en.opasnet.org/w/Evaluating_assessment_performance evaluating assessment performance]
'''Miscellaneous
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Agency_for_Safety_and_Health_at_Work very brief description of EU-OSHA]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Institute_of_Risk_Management Institute of Risk Management - gives RA education?]
* [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assessment this is about education assessment and learning philosophy. not very relevant]
* [http://ocw.mit.edu/OcwWeb/web/home/home/index.htm MIT Open CourseWare]
|}
==References==
<references/>
==Related files==
{{mfiles}}

Revision as of 14:58, 20 December 2010



Decision analysis and risk management is a university course for Master of Science students in Environmental health risk assessment.

Scope

What is such a good course content that

  • it gives a good overview of modern assessment methods,
  • is not overlapping with other courses in the MSc program,
  • utilises modern web workspaces for learning,

Definition

Background information from other available Risk assessment study programs are provided here: Decision analysis and risk management - background information

Tasks based on the discussions with Jukka Juutilainen, 15.8.2010.

TODO: {{#todo:Update the short course description and give that to Susanna who puts it into Oodi. DL 1.9.2010.|Jouni Tuomisto|}}


TODO: {{#todo:List related courses in ToxEn and find out the course contents. Some material is in Moodle, learn to use that. Try and adjust the contents of this course to match the other courses without hampering the idea of open assessment. The course Ympäristöterveys is openly available under Avoin yliopisto (nowadays Aducate?). DL: 1.11.2010|Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio|}}


TODO: {{#todo:Develop the course contents and ask for lecturers. DL: 15.11.2010.|Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio|}}


TODO: {{#todo:Develop the lecture contents for those lectures that you give yourself. DL: 1.2.2011.|Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio|}}


Result

Name
Decision analysis and risk management          
ECTS-credits
6
Abbreviation
DARM     

Content

Date Date Content Jouni Mikko Marko Juha
2011-02-21 Mon Lectures, part 1 Video?
2011-02-22 Tue Lectures, part 1 Video?
2011-02-23 Wed Lectures, part 1 Video?
2011-02-24 Thu Lectures, part 1 Video?
2011-02-25 Fri Lectures, part 1 Video?
2011-02-28 Mon Lectures, part 1 Video?
2011-03-01 Tue Lectures, part 1 Video?
2011-03-02 Wed Lectures, part 1 Video?
2011-03-03 Thu Instructions for projects Video?
2011-03-04 Fri Instructions for projects Video?
2011-03-07 Mon Project work (home, online) Away
2011-03-08 Tue Project work (home, online) Away
2011-03-09 Wed Project work (home, online) Away
2011-03-10 Thu Project work (home, online) Away
2011-03-11 Fri Project work (home, online) Away
2011-03-14 Mon Project work (home, online) Marko in Kuopio?
2011-03-15 Tue Project work (home, online) Away Marko in Kuopio?
2011-03-16 Wed Project work (home, online) Away Marko in Kuopio?
2011-03-17 Thu Project work (home, online) Away Marko in Kuopio?
2011-03-18 Fri Project work (home, online) Away Marko in Kuopio?
2011-03-21 Mon Lectures, part 2 Marko in Kuopio? Video?
2011-03-22 Tue Lectures, part 2 Marko in Kuopio? Video?
2011-03-23 Wed Lectures, part 2 Marko in Kuopio? Video?
2011-03-24 Thu Lectures, part 2 Marko in Kuopio? Video?
2011-03-25 Fri Lectures, part 2 Marko in Kuopio? Video?
2011-03-28 Mon Lectures, part 2 Marko in Kuopio? Video?
2011-03-29 Tue Lectures, part 2 Marko in Kuopio? Video?
2011-03-30 Wed Lectures, part 2 Marko in Kuopio? Video?
2011-03-31 Thu Project seminars, feedback Marko in Kuopio?
2011-04-01 Fri Project seminars, feedback Marko in Kuopio?


Learning outcomes
The student will learn about the fundaments of decision analysis; and the connections between societal decision-making and risk assessment. He is able to apply the scientific method and falsification in the context of risk assessment. He also knows how to build an assessment based on the requirements of risk management.     
Content
  • Theory of decision analysis.
  • Value of information.
  • Bayesian rule and Bayesian networks.
  • Scientific method, falsification.
  • Pragma-dialectic argumentation theory.
  • Risk assessment as a collaborative project of information production.
  • Opasnet and other web tools for risk assessment.
  • Developing risk management options.
  • Science-policy interface.     
Learning material
Online course readings in Opasnet: http://en.opasnet.org
Degree Programme(s)
ToxEn, Environment health risk assessment     

Implementation

Time
Spring 2011     

Teaching / Learning Methods

  • Lectures 36 h
  • Tutorial 0 h
  • One-to-One Teaching 0 h
  • Group Work 30 h
  • Independent Study 96 h
  • Web-Based Learning 30 %
Additional Information on Teaching / Learning Methods
Group work is in computer class.     
Teaching Languages
English
Additional Information on Languages
Offered for Students in Other Universities (JOO-opintoja)
YES

ASSESSMENT

Assessment is Based on
  • Written Examination
  • Project
Additional Information
The project will be a practical participation in a risk assessment in Opasnet.          
Assessment
0 (Fail) – 5 (Excellent)
Additional Information

     

Prerequisites

     

ContactsS

Organising Departments
Department of environmental science (in collaboration with the National Institute for Health and Welfare)          
Course Director
Jukka Juutilainen     
Teachers
Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio     
Contact Persons
mikko.pohjola(at)thl.fi     
Registration for the Course
Wossikka     

Further information

Keywords
Risk assessment, decision analysis, Bayesian theory, open assessment, risk management, societal decision making.     
Further Information

See also


Courses and course material on different topics related to risk assessment, decision analysis, and risk management.

Statistics

Exposure

Toxicology

Epidemiology and public health

Risk characterisation

Risk management

Risk and impact assessment

Decision analysis and economy

Open assessment

Miscellaneous

References


Related files

<mfanonymousfilelist></mfanonymousfilelist>

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