Climate change policy assessment: Difference between revisions

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[[Category:Drinking water]]
[[Category:Drinking water]]
[[Category:Policy options]]
[[Category:Policy options]]
{{assessment}}
[[Category:HEIMTSA]]
 
=Meta-level variable: research question for the assessment=
{{variable}}
 
==Scope==


The meta-level research question:
What is a good scope for this assessment such that the assessment
What is a good scope for this assessment such that
* effectively builds on existing work and work that will be done anyway in Intarese, Heimtsa, KTL, or other closely related institutes,
* it relates to the impacts of climate change mitigation policies,
* acts as the Intarese mega case study as a part of the WP4.3 work,
* it may relate to the impacts of climate change as such,
* utilises the tools and methods developed in Intarese,
* the assessment covers a wide range of existing assessments within Intarese, Heimtsa, Hiwate, USTUTT, and KTL,
* is topical and has high policy relevance, e.g. related to COP-15 (Dec 2009) or Conference of Environment and Health Ministers of Europe (early 2010?),
* the assessment has direct policy relevance for a high-profile policy process, e.g. COP-15 (Dec 2009) or Conference of Environment and Health Ministers of Europe (early 2010?),
* assesses issues on the European scale,
* is prognostic, i.e. assesses future impacts of current policy options?
* relates to the impacts of climate change,
* relates to the impacts of climate change mitigation policies,
* the parts of the assessment have shared parts, such as population data, future trends of climate, and/or international policies such as emission trade systems,
* the parts of the assessment have shared parts, such as population data, future trends of climate, and/or international policies such as emission trade systems,
* the assessment shows clear synergism in working collaboratively between its parts?
* the assessment shows clear synergism in working collaboratively between its parts?
==Definition==
===Data===
'''Common issues in projects that are currently running in the Intarese/Heimtsa/KTL domain. More detailed descriptions can be found from a [http://www.pyrkilo.fi/intarese/index.php?title=Climate_change_policy_assessment&oldid=15113 previous version of this page].
* [http://www.pyrkilo.fi/intarese/index.php?title=Climate_change_policy_assessment&oldid=15113#Ideas_about_common_issues Descriptions of related projects] and some more in [http://www.pyrkilo.fi/intarese/index.php?title=Talk:Climate_change_policy_assessment&oldid=15043 a related Talk page].
* [http://www.pyrkilo.fi/intarese/index.php?title=Climate_change_policy_assessment&oldid=15113#Variables A list of topics and material that might be useful as parts of this assessment]
{| {{prettytable}}
! Project/WP
! Links to what project
! Common issues
|----
| [[WP3.1 Transport|Intarese WP3.1 Traffic]]
|
* ETS-CL, Outdoor air
* Noise
|
* Urban car traffic: PM and CO2 emissions
* Traffic noise
* Climate change mitigation policies
|----
| [[WP3.2 Housing|Intarese WP3.2 Housing]]
|
* Claih, Bioher
|
* Energy efficiency of household heating
* Climate trends and impacts
|----
| [[WP3.3 Agricultural land use|Intarese WP3.3 Agriculture]]
|
|
* Land use and land use change
* Climate trends and impacts
|----
| [[WP3.4 Water|Intarese WP3.4 Drinking water]]
|
* Hiwate
|
* Drinking water
* Climate trends and impacts
* Climate change mitigation policies
|----
| [[WP3.5 Chemicals in household products and articles|Intarese WP3.5 Household chemicals]]
| -
| -
|----
| Intarese WP3.6 Waste
|
* ETS-CL, Outdoor air
|
* PM and CO2 emissions
|----
| [[Climate|Intarese WP3.7 Climate change]]
|
*Claih
|
* Extreme temperatures
* Climate trends and impacts
|----
| [http://www.pyrkilo.fi/heimtsa/index.php/Health_impact_assessment_of_indoor_air_contaminants Heimtsa indoor air]
|
* Housing, Claih
|
* Indoor air quality, ventilation
|----
| [http://www.pyrkilo.fi/heimtsa/index.php/Health_impact_assessment_of_outdoor_air_pollutants_in_Europe Heimtsa outdoor air]
|
* Traffic, ETC-CL, Waste
|
* PM and CO2 emissions
* Climate trends and impacts
|----
| [http://www.pyrkilo.fi/heimtsa/index.php/Impact_assessment_of_traffic_noise Heimtsa noise]
|
* Traffic
|
* Traffic noise
|----
| [http://www.pyrkilo.fi/heimtsa/index.php/Health_impact_assessment_of_complex_pollutants_with_multipathway_exposure Heimtsa complex pollutants]
| -
| -
|----
| [[:op_en:IA on carbon trade and its city-level impacts|Emission trade and city-level policies (ETS-CL)]]
|
* Traffic, Waste, Outdoor air 
|
* PM and CO2 emissions
* Climate trends and impacts
* Climate change mitigation policies
|----
| [[:op_en:Claih|Claih (Climate change, indoor, and health)]]
|
* Housing, Indoor air, Waste
* Climate change
|
* PM and CO2 emissions
* Extreme temperatures
* Climate trends and impacts
* Climate change mitigation policies
|----
| [[:op_en:Bioher|Bioher (Biofuels and health in heating)]]
|
* Housing, Outdoor air, ETS-CL, Claih
|
* PM and CO2 emissions
* Climate trends and impacts
* Climate change mitigation policies
|----
| Hiwate
|
* Drinking water
|
* Drinking water 
* Climate trends and impacts
* Climate change mitigation policies
|----
!colspan="3"| Common background work needed
|----
| Climate trend data
| Housing, Agriculture, Drinking water, Climate change, Outdoor air, ETS-CL, Claih, Bioher, Hiwate
|
|----
| Climate change mitigation policies
| Traffic, Drinking water, ETS-CL, Claih, Bioher, Hiwate
|
|----
| European population data
| All projects
|
|----
|}
==Result==
The Intarese mega case study should include the following elements:
* Pollutants: PM2.5. CO2, other greenhouse gases. O3 and related UV radiation. Noise.
* Climate trends: All trends (temperature changes given different emission scenarios) presented in the IPCC report.
* Population: the population of the European Union. The level of detail may vary from one area to another.
* Sectors of activity: Traffic. Heat and electricity production. Drinking water production (tap/bottled). Waste incineration.
Detailed results are shown in the scope of the assessment described below.
=Climate change policy assessment=
{{assessment}}


==Scope==
==Scope==
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* Time 2008-2050
* Time 2008-2050
* Climate patterns in the future based on [[IPCC]] results and predictions.
* Climate patterns in the future based on [[IPCC]] results and predictions.
*
 


===Scenarios===
===Scenarios===
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[[image:Climate change policy assessment.PNG]]
[[image:Climate change policy assessment.PNG]]


===Variables===
=== Variables ===
 
Learn about these other assessments and make suggestions about how that assessment could be merged into this larger assessment. Tasks are tentatively distributed to people, but you can suggest and comment on any study.
 
Variables that may be useful in this assessment:
* [[:op_en:IA on carbon trade and its city-level impacts]] and all its variables '''Virpi
** EC emission trade system (ETS) is imposed to Helsinki. What difference does this make to i) societal and ii) individual decisions related to a) transportation, b) heat and electricity production?
* [[:op_en:Cost-benefit assessment on composite traffic in Helsinki]] Composite traffic project (2005) '''Jouni
** What is X% of private car trips would be aggregated and organised centrally?
* [[:op_en:ERF of PM2.5 on mortality in general population]]
* [[:op_en:Fine particles]]
* [[:op_en:Gasbus - health impacts of Helsinki bus traffic]] GASBUS project (2004) '''Marko
** What are the impacts on mortality if busses in Helsinki are changed from diesel to natural gas or diesel with modern filters?
* [[:op_en:Health and climate impacts of heat production in small municipalities (BIOHER)]] '''Pauliina
** In municipalities of size 2000-10000 inhabitants, what are the health and climate effects of heating systems? Options: centralised <10 MW facility burning a) heavy fuel oil or b) wood chips, or house-level heating with c) light oil, d) wood pellets, or e) electricity?
* [[:op_en:Risk assessment of nitrate in drinking water]] Intarese WP3.4 first pass '''Päivi, James
** What are the health impacts of nitrate in drinking water on infant methemoglobinaemia (iMetHb) in England and Wales?
* [[WP3.4 Assessment of the health impacts of bladder cancer associated with arsenic in drinking water]] Intarese WP3.4 '''Päivi, James
* [[WP3.4 Assessment of the health impacts of bladder cancer associated with THMs in drinking water]] Intarese WP3.4 '''Päivi, James
* [[WP3.4 Assessment of the health impacts of SGA associated with THMs in drinking water]] Intarese WP3.4 '''Päivi, James
* [[:en_op:HIA on climate change, air pollution, and indoor air]] CLAIH project '''Marko, Juha P
** What are the impacts of climate change on PM2.5 levels in Finland?
** What are the interactions of climate change and energy efficiency needs of housing in Finland?
* KOPRA/Piltti projects (finished already but data suits well in this project) '''Marko, Jouni
** What are the health impacts of PM emissions from sources in Finland?
* Heimtsa: Noise case '''Erkki
** What are the health impacts of noise in Europe?
* Heimtsa: outdoor air '''Alex, Jouni, Volker
** What are the health impacts of outdoor air pollutants (notably PM, NOx, SO2, O3)
* Intarese WP3.2 Housing '''Ulla
** What are the health impacts of energy efficiency measures on cold-induced diseases in UK?
* Intarese WP3.7 Climate '''Mikko
** What are the health impacts of UV radiation changes and heat waves related to climate change?
* Intarese WP3.3 Agriculture '''Olli
* Intarese WP3.6 Waste '''Olli, Juha P
** What are the health impacts of waste incineration and related (dioxin,...?) emissions in (Italy?)?
* Hiwate '''Päivi, James
** What are the health impacts of arsenic (As), trihalomethanes (THM), and microbes in drinking waster due to changes in:
*** bottled water consumption goes down and tap water up because people want to fight against climate change
*** raw water sources become worse because of climate change
*** raw water sources contaminate by microbes because of surface water coming from heavier rainfall and floods, induced by climate change
*** raw water scarcity leads to the use of microbially lower-quality raw water.
* Something about agriculture, land use change and the impacts connected to those.
 
==== Ideas about common issues====
 
'''WP3.1 Transport
* Topic is to study environmentally friendly zones (limiting car driving) or congestion charge zones within cities.
* Case cities are Rome, London, the Hague, Helsinki, Barcelona
* Impacts: PM2.5 and health; greenhouse gas emissions, traffic noise and health and annoyance.
* Shared variables (possibly)
** PM2.5 emission
** PM2.5 exposure
** PM2.5 [[:op_en:ERF|ERF]]
** CO2 emission
* Shared frameworks:
** City-level assessment


Variables and/or assessments that may be useful in this assessment.
*[[:op_en:IA_on_carbon_trade_and_its_city-level_impacts|op_en:IA on carbon trade and its city-level impacts]] and all its variables
**EC emission trade system (ETS) is imposed to Helsinki. What difference does this make to i) societal and ii) individual decisions related to a) transportation, b) heat and electricity production?
*[[:op_en:Cost-benefit_assessment_on_composite_traffic_in_Helsinki|op_en:Cost-benefit assessment on composite traffic in Helsinki]] Composite traffic project (2005)
**What if X% of private car trips would be aggregated and organised centrally?
*[[:op_en:ERF_of_PM2.5_on_mortality_in_general_population|op_en:ERF of PM2.5 on mortality in general population]]
*[[:op_en:Fine_particles|op_en:Fine particles]]
*[[:op_en:Gasbus_-_health_impacts_of_Helsinki_bus_traffic|op_en:Gasbus - health impacts of Helsinki bus traffic]] GASBUS project (2004)
**What are the impacts on mortality if busses in Helsinki are changed from diesel to natural gas or diesel with modern filters?
*[[:op_en:Health_and_climate_impacts_of_heat_production_in_small_municipalities_(BIOHER)|op_en:Health and climate impacts of heat production in small municipalities (BIOHER)]]
**In municipalities of size 2000-10000 inhabitants, what are the health and climate effects of heating systems? Options: centralised &lt;10 MW facility burning a) heavy fuel oil or b) wood chips, or house-level heating with c) light oil, d) wood pellets, or e) electricity?
*[[:op_en:Risk_assessment_of_nitrate_in_drinking_water|op_en:Risk assessment of nitrate in drinking water]] Intarese WP3.4 first pass
**What are the health impacts of nitrate in drinking water on infant methemoglobinaemia (iMetHb) in England and Wales?
*[[WP3.4 Assessment of the health impacts of bladder cancer associated with arsenic in drinking water|WP3.4 Assessment of the health impacts of bladder cancer associated with arsenic in drinking water]] Intarese WP3.4
*[[WP3.4 Assessment of the health impacts of bladder cancer associated with THMs in drinking water|WP3.4 Assessment of the health impacts of bladder cancer associated with THMs in drinking water]] Intarese WP3.4
*[[WP3.4 Assessment of the health impacts of SGA associated with THMs in drinking water|WP3.4 Assessment of the health impacts of SGA associated with THMs in drinking water]] Intarese WP3.4 '''Päivi, James'''
*[[En op:HIA on climate change, air pollution, and indoor air|en_op:HIA on climate change, air pollution, and indoor air]] CLAIH project
**What are the impacts of climate change on PM2.5 levels in Finland?
**What are the interactions of climate change and energy efficiency needs of housing in Finland?
*KOPRA/Piltti projects (finished already but data suits well in this project)
**What are the health impacts of PM emissions from sources in Finland?
*Heimtsa: Noise case
**What are the health impacts of noise in Europe?
*Heimtsa: outdoor air
**What are the health impacts of outdoor air pollutants (notably PM, NOx, SO2, O3)
*Intarese WP3.2 Housing
**What are the health impacts of energy efficiency measures on cold-induced diseases in UK?
*Intarese WP3.7 Climate
**What are the health impacts of UV radiation changes and heat waves related to climate change?
*Intarese WP3.6 Waste
**What are the health impacts of waste incineration and related (dioxin,...?) emissions in (Italy?)?
*Hiwate
**What are the health impacts of arsenic (As), trihalomethanes (THM), and microbes in drinking waster due to changes in:
***bottled water consumption goes down and tap water up because people want to fight against climate change
***raw water sources become worse because of climate change
***raw water sources contaminate by microbes because of surface water coming from heavier rainfall and floods, induced by climate change
***raw water scarcity leads to the use of microbially lower-quality raw water.
*Something about agriculture, land use change and the impacts connected to those.


'''WP3.4 Drinking water
* Topic is to study health impacts of As (cancer) and trihalomethanes (THM; cancer, birth defects) in drinking water.
* Case countries: Spain, Finland, Hungary, Romania, United Kingdom.
* Impacts assessed:
** CC impacts on runoff and contamination of raw water
** CC impacts on availability of raw water
** Shift from bottled water to tap water as a means to reduce the ecological footprint and CC change of drinking water.
* Shared frameworks:
** City-level assessment (or rather: waterworks-level assessment)


====Common methods that are probably needed====
==== Common methods that are probably needed ====


* Scoping tool
*Scoping tool WP1.1
* DALY calculator
*ERF meta-analysis WP1.3
* ERF meta-analysis
*[[ICF|ICF]] WP1.4
* [[ICF]]
*GIS Web-tool  
* GIS Web-tool
*[[Argumentation|Argumentation]] WP1.4
* [[Argumentation]]
*[[Analytica|Analytica]] WP1.4
* [[Analytica]]
*[[Uncertainty|Uncertainty]] tool [[Aguila|Aguila]] WP1.5
* [[Uncertainty]] tool [[Aguila]]
*Biomarker approach SP2
* Biomarker approach
* full-chain approach WP1.1
* risk appraisal indices WP1.1
* open assessment WP1.4
** collaboration
** modular information structure
** inclusion of value judgments
** opasnet
* DALY &rarr; impact calculator WP1.4
* monetary valuation of health impacts WP1.4
* CEA/CBA WP1.4
* VOI WP1.4
* Impact pathway approach (somewhat similar to full-chain) WP1.4
* perception of risks WP1.4
* Intarese uncertainty approach WP1.5
** pedigree of information/data WP1.5
** nature, location & level of uncertainty WP1.5




Pages that are not probably needed:


Pages that are not probably needed:
*[[:op_en:Open_assessment_on_the_location_of_burden_of_greenhouse_gas_trade|op_en:Open assessment on the location of burden of greenhouse gas trade]]  
* [[:op_en:Open assessment on the location of burden of greenhouse gas trade]]
*[[:op_en:Bioenergy_in_Finland:_effects_on_health_and_climate_change|op_en:Bioenergy in Finland: effects on health and climate change]]  
* [[:op_en:Bioenergy in Finland: effects on health and climate change]]  
*[[:op_en:Variable:Assessment:Catastrophic_non-linear_impacts_of_climate_change|op_en:Variable:Assessment:Catastrophic non-linear impacts of climate change]]  
* [[:op_en:Variable:Assessment:Catastrophic non-linear impacts of climate change]]
*[[:op_en:Risk_assessment_on_Hämeenkyrö_municipal_solid_waste_incinerator|op_en:Risk assessment on Hämeenkyrö municipal solid waste incinerator]] Hämeenkyrö project (2006)  
* [[:op_en:Risk assessment on Hämeenkyrö municipal solid waste incinerator]] Hämeenkyrö project (2006)
**What are the health impacts of PM2.5 and dioxin emissions from a planned MSWI in Hämeenkyrö?  
** What are the health impacts of PM2.5 and dioxin emissions from a planned MSWI in Hämeenkyrö?
*Intarese WP3.5 Household chemicals
* Intarese WP3.5 Household chemicals


===Analyses===
===Analyses===
Line 141: Line 284:


* [http://unfccc.int/di/DetailedByParty.do UNFCCC climate change data]
* [http://unfccc.int/di/DetailedByParty.do UNFCCC climate change data]
* [http://scripts.mit.edu/~jfmartin/sip/master/ Greenhouse gas emission simulator by MIT CCI]
[[category:Intarese]]
[[Category:Housing]]

Latest revision as of 13:53, 23 September 2010


Meta-level variable: research question for the assessment


Scope

What is a good scope for this assessment such that the assessment

  • effectively builds on existing work and work that will be done anyway in Intarese, Heimtsa, KTL, or other closely related institutes,
  • acts as the Intarese mega case study as a part of the WP4.3 work,
  • utilises the tools and methods developed in Intarese,
  • is topical and has high policy relevance, e.g. related to COP-15 (Dec 2009) or Conference of Environment and Health Ministers of Europe (early 2010?),
  • assesses issues on the European scale,
  • is prognostic, i.e. assesses future impacts of current policy options?
  • relates to the impacts of climate change,
  • relates to the impacts of climate change mitigation policies,
  • the parts of the assessment have shared parts, such as population data, future trends of climate, and/or international policies such as emission trade systems,
  • the assessment shows clear synergism in working collaboratively between its parts?

Definition

Data

Common issues in projects that are currently running in the Intarese/Heimtsa/KTL domain. More detailed descriptions can be found from a previous version of this page.

Project/WP Links to what project Common issues
Intarese WP3.1 Traffic
  • ETS-CL, Outdoor air
  • Noise
  • Urban car traffic: PM and CO2 emissions
  • Traffic noise
  • Climate change mitigation policies
Intarese WP3.2 Housing
  • Claih, Bioher
  • Energy efficiency of household heating
  • Climate trends and impacts
Intarese WP3.3 Agriculture
  • Land use and land use change
  • Climate trends and impacts
Intarese WP3.4 Drinking water
  • Hiwate
  • Drinking water
  • Climate trends and impacts
  • Climate change mitigation policies
Intarese WP3.5 Household chemicals - -
Intarese WP3.6 Waste
  • ETS-CL, Outdoor air
  • PM and CO2 emissions
Intarese WP3.7 Climate change
  • Claih
  • Extreme temperatures
  • Climate trends and impacts
Heimtsa indoor air
  • Housing, Claih
  • Indoor air quality, ventilation
Heimtsa outdoor air
  • Traffic, ETC-CL, Waste
  • PM and CO2 emissions
  • Climate trends and impacts
Heimtsa noise
  • Traffic
  • Traffic noise
Heimtsa complex pollutants - -
Emission trade and city-level policies (ETS-CL)
  • Traffic, Waste, Outdoor air
  • PM and CO2 emissions
  • Climate trends and impacts
  • Climate change mitigation policies
Claih (Climate change, indoor, and health)
  • Housing, Indoor air, Waste
  • Climate change
  • PM and CO2 emissions
  • Extreme temperatures
  • Climate trends and impacts
  • Climate change mitigation policies
Bioher (Biofuels and health in heating)
  • Housing, Outdoor air, ETS-CL, Claih
  • PM and CO2 emissions
  • Climate trends and impacts
  • Climate change mitigation policies
Hiwate
  • Drinking water
  • Drinking water
  • Climate trends and impacts
  • Climate change mitigation policies
Common background work needed
Climate trend data Housing, Agriculture, Drinking water, Climate change, Outdoor air, ETS-CL, Claih, Bioher, Hiwate
Climate change mitigation policies Traffic, Drinking water, ETS-CL, Claih, Bioher, Hiwate
European population data All projects

Result

The Intarese mega case study should include the following elements:

  • Pollutants: PM2.5. CO2, other greenhouse gases. O3 and related UV radiation. Noise.
  • Climate trends: All trends (temperature changes given different emission scenarios) presented in the IPCC report.
  • Population: the population of the European Union. The level of detail may vary from one area to another.
  • Sectors of activity: Traffic. Heat and electricity production. Drinking water production (tap/bottled). Waste incineration.


Detailed results are shown in the scope of the assessment described below.

Climate change policy assessment


Scope

Purpose

A tentative research questions:D↷

  • What are the impacts of climate change in Europe?
  • What are the impacts of climate change mitigation in Europe?

Boundaries

  • Population in Europe
  • Time 2008-2050
  • Climate patterns in the future based on IPCC results and predictions.


Scenarios

Intended users

Participants

Definition

Variables

Variables and/or assessments that may be useful in this assessment.


Common methods that are probably needed

  • Scoping tool WP1.1
  • ERF meta-analysis WP1.3
  • ICF WP1.4
  • GIS Web-tool
  • Argumentation WP1.4
  • Analytica WP1.4
  • Uncertainty tool Aguila WP1.5
  • Biomarker approach SP2
  • full-chain approach WP1.1
  • risk appraisal indices WP1.1
  • open assessment WP1.4
    • collaboration
    • modular information structure
    • inclusion of value judgments
    • opasnet
  • DALY → impact calculator WP1.4
  • monetary valuation of health impacts WP1.4
  • CEA/CBA WP1.4
  • VOI WP1.4
  • Impact pathway approach (somewhat similar to full-chain) WP1.4
  • perception of risks WP1.4
  • Intarese uncertainty approach WP1.5
    • pedigree of information/data WP1.5
    • nature, location & level of uncertainty WP1.5


Pages that are not probably needed:

Analyses

Result

Results

Conclusions

See also

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