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| [[Category:Herring]]
| | #REDIRECT [[Benefit-risk assessment of Baltic herring and salmon intake]] |
| {{assessment|moderator=Päivi Haapasaari|stub=Yes|status=ongoing}}
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| == Scope ==
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| === Question ===
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| === Intended use and users ===
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| === Participants ===
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| * University of Helsinki: Sakari Kuikka, Päivi Haapasaari, Kirsi Hoviniemi
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| * National Institute for Health and Welfare: Jouni Tuomisto, Arja Asikainen
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| * University of Oulu: Timo P. Karjalainen, Simo Sarkki, Mia Pihlajamäki
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| * SLU: Anna Gårdmark, Jonas
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| * Alyne Delaney
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| * Stakeholders needed in the assessment: fisher's associations, agricultural/fisheries ministries in Finland, Sweden, Estonia, Denmark.
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| === Boundaries ===
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| * Time considered: 2015 - 2040.
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| * Area considered: The whole Baltic Sea. For detailed herring/salmon stock modelling, only the Bothnian Sea and Gulf of Bothnia is considered.
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| * Policies considered: We will build and explore four integrative scenarios for the future of Baltic salmon and herring
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| * Outcomes considered: threats to and state of the fish stocks; impacts and governance responses
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| === Decisions and scenarios ===
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| * Scenarios (possible internally coherent paths in the future) will be developed about 1) eutrophication, 2) dioxin releases, 3) the use of Baltic herring, and 4) salmon policy, by taking into account different political, economic, social, technical, climate change-related etc. circumstances.
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| ** Scenario for eutrophication
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| ** Scenario for herring use {{comment|# |How do we differentiate herring use scenario and herring policies?|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 06:54, 22 April 2015 (UTC)}}
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| ** Scenario for salmon policy
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| ** Scenario for dioxin input to the Baltic Sea
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| * Salmon management
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| ** International agreement on fishing quota for salmon
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| * Herring management
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| ** Size-selective fishing of herring
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| * Knowledge actions and fish recommendations
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| * Agricultural policy
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| * Dioxin policy
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| * Etc
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| === Timing ===
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| The assessment started in April 2015. The first stakeholder meeting will be in February 2016. The final results with the full decision support tool will be finalised in March 2018.
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| == Answer ==
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| The work has just started. There is no answer yet.
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| === Results ===
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| === Conclusions ===
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| == Rationale ==
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| [[File:Goherr decision support tool diagram.png|thumb|300px|Goherr causal diagram]]
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| === Stakeholders ===
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| Who will be affected by the decisions?
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| * Professional fishers and their organisations
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| * Anglers and other recreational fishers and their organisations
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| * Land owner fishers and their organisation (they have inherited rights)
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| * Saami people also have inherited rights (in Sweden only?)
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| * Food and fish industry.
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| * Mink and fox farmers
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| * All people utilising recreational values of the Baltic Sea (relates to eutrophication)
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| * Farmers and agricultural sector
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| * Consumers of fish
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| * Producers of fish oil and fish meal
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| * Baltic Sea RAC (Regional Advisory Concil) represents fishers (located in Copenhagen)
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| * Hydropower plant owners
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| Who will affect the decisions?
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| * Food safety organisations (EVIRA, Livsmedelsverket, ...)
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| * Ministries (of agriculture, environment, and commerce)
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| * EU: DG Mare, EU Parliament?
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| * SWAM (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management)
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| Who are interested in the decisions?
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| * Scientists
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| * Environmental NGOs
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| * Bureaucrats
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| * ICES (International Council for the Exploration of the Sea)
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| * Helcom
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| {{#l:Potential stakeholders_Participant list CCB Salmon Seminar in Älvkarleby.docx}}
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| {{comment|# |Who do we want to invite to the stakeholder workshop and why?|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:34, 22 April 2015 (UTC)}}
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| Purpose of the stakeholder meeting
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| * Discuss management objectives (values) (for WP3)
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| * Discuss how to reach those objectives (actions) (for WP3)
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| * Stakeholders' knowledge needs on scientific information on dioxins (for WP2)
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| * Stakeholders' views on the current scientific information and how they use it (for WP2)
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| * WPs' (or assessors') needs for scientific information to perform the assessment
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| * Understand stakeholders' views and commitment to the different governance types (for WP2) {{comment|# |Is this for the stakeholder meeting or for the interviews?|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 08:34, 22 April 2015 (UTC)}}
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| * Two sessions needed (for WP3)
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| ** Session to discuss and verify the objectives based on the survey
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| ** Session to find normative scenarios
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| * Get a reasonable estimate about herring and salmon consumption in different countries (for WP5)
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| * Present result in the workshop (by WP4)
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| * Find out whether size-specific fishing is at all realistic in the eyes of the stakeholders (for WP4, maybe in the second workshop)
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| * Present and discuss the draft model. Improve the structure based on the comments (for WP6)
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| First stakeholder meeting:
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| * In Copenhagen. The second meeting will be in Helsinki.
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| * Try to get many participants from Denmark and Sweden and pay flights for participants from Finland and Estonia. Maybe someone from Brussels.
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| * Can it be combined with the RAC meeting?
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| Terminology
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| * Normative scenarios: paths you need to take to reach a defined goal
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| * Expolorative scenarios: identify key uncertainties and dependencies to describe coherent paths into the future.
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| * Governance types: How things are managed (e.g. top down command or co-management).
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| * Management action (i.e. decisions)
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| === Dependencies ===
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| {| {{prettytable}}
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| |+ '''Products from workpackages to other workpackages
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| ! From|| To|| Deadline|| Page|| Topic
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| || WP2|| WP3|| || [[Stakeholders' objectives about Baltic salmon and herring]] || Stakeholder values and objectives
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| |----
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| || WP2, WP3|| WP6|| 2016-01-31|| [[Governance types about the Baltic Sea]] || Alternative governance types
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| |----
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| || WP2|| WP6|| || [[Salmon and herring fishers' commitment to the fishing restrictions]] Fraction of a regulation actually implemented? || Applicability of planned management options in practice
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP6|| || [[Management paths to the objectives about Baltic salmon and herring]] || Normative scenarios (paths that must be taken to reach an objective)
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP6|| || [[Management of Baltic salmon and herring]] || Management options (decisions)
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP4|| || [[Dioxin emissions into the Baltic Sea]] || Trends of dioxin deposition into the Baltic Sea
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP4|| || Eutrophication: [[Cholorophyll A in the Baltic Sea]] (indicator of phosphorus and nitrogen in the water in different areas and times) {{comment|# |How is this actually used?|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 11:26, 22 April 2015 (UTC)}} || Trends of eutrophication of the Baltic Sea
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| |----
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| || WP3|| WP5|| 2017-10-31|| [[Baltic herring consumption in Finland]] [[Salmon and herring consumption around the Baltic Sea]] || Trends of fish consumption
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| |----
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| || WP4|| WP5|| 2017-10-31|| [[Salmon and herring populations in the Baltic Sea]] [[Salmon and herring catch in the Baltic Sea]] by time and area and fish size
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| || Predicted salmon and herring stocks by time, area, and size
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| |----
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| || WP4|| WP3, WP5|| 2017-10-31|| [[EU-kalat]] This page is a study about Finnish measurements [[Dioxin concentrations in fish in the Baltic Sea]] this is a variable page based on e.g. [[EU-kalat]] data and [[Goherr]] project results. || Bioaccumulation of dioxins in fish and potential of fishing to change that
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| |----
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| || WP5|| WP6|| 2017-12-31|| [[Health benefits and risks of Baltic herring and salmon]] || Health benefits and risks of Baltic herring and salmon
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| |----
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| || WP5|| WP3, WP6|| 2017-04-30|| [[Reactions of people to fish eating recommendations]] || People's willingness to change consumption patterns based on risk
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| |----
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| || WP5|| WP6|| 2017-04-30|| [[Determinants of fish-eating habits around the Baltic Sea]] || Determinants of fish-eating habits
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| |----
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| |}
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| {{comment|# |Add your suggestions about deadlines!|--[[User:Jouni|Jouni]] ([[User talk:Jouni|talk]]) 15:32, 22 April 2015 (UTC)}}
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| === Analyses ===
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| === Indices ===
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| === Calculations ===
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| == See also ==
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| {{goherr}}
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| == Keywords ==
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| == References ==
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| <references/>
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| Assmuth Timo and Jalonen Pauliina 2005: Risks and management of dioxin-like compounds in Baltic Sea fish: An integrated assessment. Nordic Council of Ministers, Copenhagen.
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| == Related files ==
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