Lung cancer cases due to radon in Europe: Difference between revisions
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{{variable|moderator=Teemu R|stub=Yes}} | {{variable|moderator=Teemu R|stub=Yes}} | ||
[[Category:Code under inspection]] | |||
== Scope == | == Scope == | ||
Line 9: | Line 10: | ||
== Definition == | == Definition == | ||
*Lung cancer cases calculated from radon concentration using <nowiki><math>cases = | *Lung cancer cases calculated from radon concentration using <nowiki><math>cases = relative risk * background rate of cases * concentration * population</math></nowiki>. RR taken from HEIMTSA and INTARESE (Darby 2004; Darby 2005). | ||
* | ** Background rate of new lung cancers is assumed constant for the whole Europe: 58.2 cases per 100,000 population (Globocan 2008, crude rate). | ||
** Linear no threshold model assumed. | |||
** In a given iteration, radon concentrations are assumed equal in all residences in a country. | |||
=== Data === | === Data === | ||
Line 19: | Line 22: | ||
*[[Population of Europe by Country|Population of Europe]] | *[[Population of Europe by Country|Population of Europe]] | ||
*Lung cancer mortality in Europe (from [[WHO mortality data]]) | *Lung cancer mortality in Europe (from [[WHO mortality data]]) | ||
*ERF of radon exposure on lung cancer | *ERF of radon exposure on lung cancer ([[:heande:ERFs of several pollutants]]) | ||
=== Unit === | === Unit === | ||
Line 27: | Line 30: | ||
=== Formula === | === Formula === | ||
*This code features [[R]] functions described on pages [[Opasnet Base Connection for R]] and [[Operating intelligently with multidimensional arrays in R]]. | |||
<rcode> | |||
library(OpasnetBaseUtils) | |||
conc <- op_baseGetData("opasnet_base", "Op_en4713") | |||
pop <- op_baseGetData("opasnet_base", "Op_en4691", include = 1367, exclude = c(1435, 1436)) | pop <- op_baseGetData("opasnet_base", "Op_en4691", include = 1367, exclude = c(1435, 1436)) | ||
erf <- op_baseGetData("opasnet_base", "Erac2987", include = 48847) | |||
countries <- c("Austria", "Belgium", "Bulgaria", "Switzerland", "Cyprus", "Czech Republic", "Germany", "Denmark", "Estonia", "Spain", | countries <- c("Austria", "Belgium", "Bulgaria", "Switzerland", "Cyprus", "Czech Republic", "Germany", "Denmark", "Estonia", "Spain", | ||
"Finland", "France", "Greece", "Hungary", "Ireland", "Iceland", "Italy", "Lithuania", "Luxembourg", "Latvia", "Malta", "Netherlands", | "Finland", "France", "Greece", "Hungary", "Ireland", "Iceland", "Italy", "Lithuania", "Luxembourg", "Latvia", "Malta", "Netherlands", | ||
"Norway", "Poland", "Portugal", "Romania", "Sweden", "Slowenia", "Slovakia", "United Kingdom") | "Norway", "Poland", "Portugal", "Romania", "Sweden", "Slowenia", "Slovakia", "United Kingdom") | ||
levels(pop[,"CountryID"]) <- countries #Country IDs converted to names for compatibility | |||
levels(pop[,"CountryID"]) <- countries | |||
colnames(pop)[4] <- "Country" | colnames(pop)[4] <- "Country" | ||
colnames(pop)[ | colnames(pop)[7] <- "Population" | ||
concarray <- DataframeToArray(conc) | concarray <- DataframeToArray(conc) | ||
# | popxconc <- IntArray(pop, concarray, "Concentration")#[1:1000,,,] | ||
erfarray <- DataframeToArray(erf[,c("obs","Result")]) | |||
popxconcxerf <- IntArray(popxconc, erfarray, "ERF") | |||
lungmortality <- data.frame(popxconcxerf[,c("obs","Country","policy","Year","Age","Sex")], Result = popxconcxerf[,"ERF"] * 58.2 * | |||
popxconcxerf[,"Concentration"] / 100 * popxconcxerf[, "Population"] / 100000) | |||
</rcode> | |||
# | |||
====An alternative code for Finland==== | |||
This code uses the summary table approach for obtaining data. The data sources are the same except [[ERF for long-term indoor exposure to radon and lung cancer]] (summary table [[:Category:Exposure-response functions]]) and [[Exposure to indoor radon in Finland]] (summary table [[:Category:Exposures]]). | |||
# | <rcode include="page:OpasnetBaseUtils|name:generic" variables=" | ||
name:show|description:Which exposure parameters do you want to see?|type:checkbox|options:1;Actual population average in Finland;2;Guidance value for new apartments;3;Guidance value for old apartments|default:1;2;3 | |||
"> | |||
cat("Get data from Opasnet Base.\n") | |||
library(OpasnetBaseUtils) | |||
library(xtable) | |||
conc <- summary.bring("Op_en1619")[show, ] # Summary table Category:Exposures | |||
erf <- summary.bring("Op_en1914") # Summary table Category:Exposure-response functions | |||
pop <- summary.bring("Op_en2154") # Summary table Category:Population characteristics | |||
bg <- summary.bring("Op_en1620") # Summary table Category:Health effects | |||
cat("Adjust data for the model.\n") | |||
print(xtable(conc), type = 'html') | |||
print(xtable(erf), type = 'html') | |||
print(xtable(pop), type = 'html') | |||
print(xtable(bg), type = 'html') | |||
out <- merge(conc, erf) | |||
out <- merge(out, pop) | |||
out <- merge(out, bg) | |||
out$ERF <- as.numeric(substr(out$ERF, 1, 6)) | |||
out$Exposure <- as.numeric(substr(out$Exposure, 1, 3)) | |||
out$Response <- as.numeric(out$Response) | |||
cat("Run the actual model.\n") | |||
out <- dropall(out) | |||
tst <- rep(TRUE, ncol(out)) # tst: are all values in a column the same? | |||
for(i in 1:ncol(out)){tst[i] <- nlevels(as.factor(out[, i])) == 1} | |||
print(xtable(t(out[1, tst])), type = 'html') | |||
out$Out <- (out$ERF - 1) / out$ERF * out$Exposure * out$Response * out$Amount / 100000 | |||
for(i in 1:ncol(out)){tst[i] <- nlevels(as.factor(out[, i])) == 1} | |||
print(xtable(out[, !tst]), type = 'html') | |||
</rcode> | |||
== Result == | == Result == | ||
{{resultlink}} | {{resultlink}} | ||
{|{{prettytable}} | |||
|+'''Lung cancer cases in Europe due to indoor radon in residences (mean and 95% confidence interval).''' | |||
! !!colspan="4"|Year | |||
|---- | |||
!Policy!!2010!!2020!!2030!!2050 | |||
|---- | |||
|BAU || 42691 (22042-95542) || 51138 (24733-111979) || 57618 (25785-137181) || 62461 (27023-143632) | |||
|---- | |||
|All || NA || 53385 (25402-130453) || 68338 (28863-171718) || 81873 (31372-239696) | |||
|---- | |||
|Biomass || NA || NA || NA || 81849 (32497-218247) | |||
|---- | |||
|Insulation || NA || NA || NA || 80534 (32445-236962) | |||
|---- | |||
|Renovation || NA || NA || NA || 94075 (35396-288323) | |||
|---- | |||
|} | |||
{| {{prettytable}} | {| {{prettytable}} | ||
|+ '''Lung cancer cases attributable to indoor radon in | |+ '''Lung cancer cases attributable to indoor radon in residences in Europe, year 2010. | ||
! Country of observation!! Mean!! SD | ! Country of observation!! Mean!! SD | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Austria | |||
| 1105 | |||
| 1146 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Belgium | |||
| 857 | |||
| 796 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Bulgaria | |||
| 303 | |||
| 382 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Switzerland | |||
| 1636 | |||
| 2835 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Cyprus | |||
| 10 | |||
| 14 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Germany | |||
| 4754 | |||
| 4305 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Denmark | |||
| 382 | |||
| 408 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Estonia | |||
| 222 | |||
| 239 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Spain | |||
| 8245 | |||
| 15249 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Finland | |||
| 805 | |||
| 792 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| France | |||
| 8204 | |||
| 12176 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Greece | |||
| 857 | |||
| 977 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Hungary | |||
| 1583 | |||
| 1985 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Ireland | |||
| 533 | |||
| 580 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Italy | |||
| 5035 | |||
| 5117 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Lithuania | |||
| 223 | |||
| 233 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Luxembourg | |||
| 68 | |||
| 64 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Latvia | |||
| 229 | |||
| 289 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Malta | |||
| 43 | |||
| 50 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Netherlands | |||
| 504 | |||
| 338 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Norway | |||
| 566 | |||
| 667 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Poland | |||
| 2175 | |||
| 1864 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Portugal | |||
| 1183 | |||
| 1208 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Romania | |||
| 1233 | |||
| 1357 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Sweden | |||
| 1353 | |||
| 1475 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
| Slovakia | |||
| 586 | |||
| 661 | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
|| '''Total'''|| ''' | || '''Total'''|| '''42691'''|| | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|} | |} |
Latest revision as of 10:58, 26 August 2013
Moderator:Teemu R (see all) |
This page is a stub. You may improve it into a full page. |
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Scope
Mortality due to indoor radon concentrations.
- Spatial: Europe
- Temporal: years 2010-2050
Definition
- Lung cancer cases calculated from radon concentration using <math>cases = relative risk * background rate of cases * concentration * population</math>. RR taken from HEIMTSA and INTARESE (Darby 2004; Darby 2005).
- Background rate of new lung cancers is assumed constant for the whole Europe: 58.2 cases per 100,000 population (Globocan 2008, crude rate).
- Linear no threshold model assumed.
- In a given iteration, radon concentrations are assumed equal in all residences in a country.
Data
Dependencies
- Radon concentrations in European residences
- Population of Europe
- Lung cancer mortality in Europe (from WHO mortality data)
- ERF of radon exposure on lung cancer (heande:ERFs of several pollutants)
Unit
cases per year
Formula
- This code features R functions described on pages Opasnet Base Connection for R and Operating intelligently with multidimensional arrays in R.
An alternative code for Finland
This code uses the summary table approach for obtaining data. The data sources are the same except ERF for long-term indoor exposure to radon and lung cancer (summary table Category:Exposure-response functions) and Exposure to indoor radon in Finland (summary table Category:Exposures).
Result
{{#opasnet_base_link:Op_en4715}}
Year | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Policy | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2050 |
BAU | 42691 (22042-95542) | 51138 (24733-111979) | 57618 (25785-137181) | 62461 (27023-143632) |
All | NA | 53385 (25402-130453) | 68338 (28863-171718) | 81873 (31372-239696) |
Biomass | NA | NA | NA | 81849 (32497-218247) |
Insulation | NA | NA | NA | 80534 (32445-236962) |
Renovation | NA | NA | NA | 94075 (35396-288323) |
Country of observation | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|
Austria | 1105 | 1146 |
Belgium | 857 | 796 |
Bulgaria | 303 | 382 |
Switzerland | 1636 | 2835 |
Cyprus | 10 | 14 |
Germany | 4754 | 4305 |
Denmark | 382 | 408 |
Estonia | 222 | 239 |
Spain | 8245 | 15249 |
Finland | 805 | 792 |
France | 8204 | 12176 |
Greece | 857 | 977 |
Hungary | 1583 | 1985 |
Ireland | 533 | 580 |
Italy | 5035 | 5117 |
Lithuania | 223 | 233 |
Luxembourg | 68 | 64 |
Latvia | 229 | 289 |
Malta | 43 | 50 |
Netherlands | 504 | 338 |
Norway | 566 | 667 |
Poland | 2175 | 1864 |
Portugal | 1183 | 1208 |
Romania | 1233 | 1357 |
Sweden | 1353 | 1475 |
Slovakia | 586 | 661 |
Total | 42691 |
See also
Keywords
References
Related files
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