Value of a life year (VOLY): Difference between revisions
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[[Category:Costs and valuations]] | |||
[[Category: CLAIH]] | |||
{{variable|moderator = Virpi Kollanus}} | {{variable|moderator = Virpi Kollanus}} | ||
== Scope == | == Scope == | ||
What is the monetary value of a statistical life year derived from studies on societal willingness to pay (WTP) for mortality risk reductions? | |||
== Definition == | == Definition == | ||
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=== Data === | === Data === | ||
'''ExternE 2005 <ref>[http://www.externe.info/brussels/methup05a.pdf European Commission 2005. ExternE, Externalities of Energy, Methodology 2005 Update. Bickel P & Friedrich R (Eds.)]</ref> | |||
Results are based on a contingent valuation study (NewExt) on changes in life-expectancy conducted simultaneously in France, UK, and Italy. The objective of the study was to derive monetary unit value for the incidence of premature death resulting from air pollution in Europe. The survey protocol included people over the age of 40, with 1/3 of these above the age of 60. | |||
*Chronic exposure mortality impacts (death after 10 years of exposure, 3% discount rate applied) | |||
*Chronic mortality impacts (death after 10 years of exposure, 3% discount rate applied) | |||
**Upper bound: €151 110 | **Upper bound: €151 110 | ||
**Mean: €125 250 | **Mean: €125 250 | ||
**Median: €55 800 (rounded to €50 000, '''''recommended central estimate''''') | **Median: €55 800 (rounded to €50 000, '''''recommended central estimate''''') | ||
**Lower bound: €18 250 | **Lower bound: €18 250 | ||
*Acute mortality impacts (immediate death, assumed that the victim's health condition is not a factor in WTP, no discount applied) | *Acute exposure mortality impacts (immediate death, assumed that the victim's health condition is not a factor in WTP, no discount applied) | ||
**Upper bound: €225 000 | **Upper bound: €225 000 | ||
**Median: €75 000 | **Median: €75 000 | ||
**Lower bound: €27 240 | **Lower bound: €27 240 | ||
* | *A Weibull distribution is assumed because it had the best fit to the data | ||
*Upper and lower bounds are considerably less robust than the central estimates | |||
'''Values used in CAFE CBA 2005 <ref>[http://ec.europa.eu/environment/archives/air/cafe/pdf/cba_methodology_vol2.pdf Service Contract for Carrying out Cost-Benefit Analysis of Air Quality Related Issues, in particular in the Clean Air for Europe (CAFE) Programme. Volume 2: Health Impact Assessment. AEA Technology Environment, 2005.]</ref> | |||
Values are based on the NewExt study, price year 2000 | |||
*Chronic exposure mortality impacts | |||
**Median: €52 000 | |||
**Mean: €120 000 | |||
'''NEEDS 2006 <ref>[http://www.needs-project.org/docs/results/RS1b/NEEDS_RS1b_D6.7.pdf Desaigues et al. 2006. Final report on the monetary valuation of mortality and morbidity risks from air pollution. Ned Energy Externalities Developments for Sustainability (NEEDS). Sixth framework programme, Project no: 502687.]</ref> | |||
Recommended mean VOLY estimates for Europe: | |||
*EU15 + Switzerland €41 000 | |||
*New member countries €33 000 | |||
*EU25 €40 000 | |||
'''Desaigues et al. 2011<ref>Desaigues et al. 2011. Economic valuation of air pollution mortality: A 9-country contingent valuation survey of value of a life year (VOLY). Ecological Indicators 11, 902-910.</ref>: | |||
*Contingent valuation study on the monetary value of a life year in EU in the air pollution context. | |||
*The result is based on a survay conducted in 9 European countries: France, Spain, UK, Denmark, Germany, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland. | |||
*Recommended VOLY estimate for cost-benefit analysis of air pollution policies for the European Union is 40 000 €. | |||
*Suggested confidence interval: lower limit 25 000 €, upper limit 100 000 €. | |||
=== | === Dependencies === | ||
VOLY is expected to vary from country to country due to income levels and cultural valuations. | |||
=== Unit === | === Unit === | ||
euro/one statistical life year | |||
=== Formula === | === Formula === | ||
A rough compilation is done of the above-mentioned ranges. | |||
Stepwise uniform: (cumulative probabilities 0, 0.05, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 0.95, 1)(18250, 27240, 41000, 52000, 75000, 125250, 151110) | |||
== Result == | == Result == | ||
{{resultlink}} | |||
==See also== | ==See also== | ||
* [[DALY to money conversion]] | |||
==Keywords== | |||
==References== | ==References== | ||
<references/> | |||
==Related files== | |||
{{mfiles}} |
Latest revision as of 13:23, 2 January 2012
Moderator:Virpi Kollanus (see all) |
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Scope
What is the monetary value of a statistical life year derived from studies on societal willingness to pay (WTP) for mortality risk reductions?
Definition
Data
ExternE 2005 [1]
Results are based on a contingent valuation study (NewExt) on changes in life-expectancy conducted simultaneously in France, UK, and Italy. The objective of the study was to derive monetary unit value for the incidence of premature death resulting from air pollution in Europe. The survey protocol included people over the age of 40, with 1/3 of these above the age of 60.
- Chronic exposure mortality impacts (death after 10 years of exposure, 3% discount rate applied)
- Upper bound: €151 110
- Mean: €125 250
- Median: €55 800 (rounded to €50 000, recommended central estimate)
- Lower bound: €18 250
- Acute exposure mortality impacts (immediate death, assumed that the victim's health condition is not a factor in WTP, no discount applied)
- Upper bound: €225 000
- Median: €75 000
- Lower bound: €27 240
- A Weibull distribution is assumed because it had the best fit to the data
- Upper and lower bounds are considerably less robust than the central estimates
Values used in CAFE CBA 2005 [2]
Values are based on the NewExt study, price year 2000
- Chronic exposure mortality impacts
- Median: €52 000
- Mean: €120 000
NEEDS 2006 [3]
Recommended mean VOLY estimates for Europe:
- EU15 + Switzerland €41 000
- New member countries €33 000
- EU25 €40 000
Desaigues et al. 2011[4]:
- Contingent valuation study on the monetary value of a life year in EU in the air pollution context.
- The result is based on a survay conducted in 9 European countries: France, Spain, UK, Denmark, Germany, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland.
- Recommended VOLY estimate for cost-benefit analysis of air pollution policies for the European Union is 40 000 €.
- Suggested confidence interval: lower limit 25 000 €, upper limit 100 000 €.
Dependencies
VOLY is expected to vary from country to country due to income levels and cultural valuations.
Unit
euro/one statistical life year
Formula
A rough compilation is done of the above-mentioned ranges.
Stepwise uniform: (cumulative probabilities 0, 0.05, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 0.95, 1)(18250, 27240, 41000, 52000, 75000, 125250, 151110)
Result
{{#opasnet_base_link:Op_en3462}}
See also
Keywords
References
- ↑ European Commission 2005. ExternE, Externalities of Energy, Methodology 2005 Update. Bickel P & Friedrich R (Eds.)
- ↑ Service Contract for Carrying out Cost-Benefit Analysis of Air Quality Related Issues, in particular in the Clean Air for Europe (CAFE) Programme. Volume 2: Health Impact Assessment. AEA Technology Environment, 2005.
- ↑ Desaigues et al. 2006. Final report on the monetary valuation of mortality and morbidity risks from air pollution. Ned Energy Externalities Developments for Sustainability (NEEDS). Sixth framework programme, Project no: 502687.
- ↑ Desaigues et al. 2011. Economic valuation of air pollution mortality: A 9-country contingent valuation survey of value of a life year (VOLY). Ecological Indicators 11, 902-910.
Related files
<mfanonymousfilelist></mfanonymousfilelist>