Building policies in Europe: Difference between revisions
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[[Category:Decision]] | [[Category:Decision]] | ||
[[Category:Europe]] | [[Category:Europe]] | ||
{{variable|moderator=Jouni}} | [[Category:THL publications 2010]] | ||
{{variable|moderator=Jouni | |||
| reference = | |||
{{publication | |||
| authors = Ulla Haverinen-Shaughnessy, Jouni T. Tuomisto | |||
| page = Building policies in Europe | |||
| publishingyear = 2011}} | |||
}} | |||
==Scope== | ==Scope== | ||
Line 13: | Line 20: | ||
===Data=== | ===Data=== | ||
Data come mainly from the [[Common Case Study]]. There are two main approaches within the study: the main approach looks at technical issues such as insulation and renovation of buildings or increase in biomass burning; the alternative approach looks also behavioural changes (such as room temperature decreases) and urban infrastructure (increasing urban density). The main approach is used in the assessments of the [[Common Case Study]], but for completion, both are described here. | |||
===Dependencies=== | ===Dependencies=== | ||
European climate scenarios. Population | |||
* European climate scenarios. | |||
* [[Population of Europe by Country]] (includes migration). | |||
===Unit=== | ===Unit=== | ||
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===Formula=== | ===Formula=== | ||
'''Main approach | |||
At the moment, only a part of the [[Common Case Study]] is implemented in [[Opasnet]]. Therefore, this variable actually only affects [[:heande:HI:Air exchange rate for European residences]], and the building policies are included in the [http://en.opasnet.org/w/Special:Opasnet_Base?op=mean&sr=1&sa=0&id=Erac2499&el=xxx&srt=&run=938 formula of that variable]. | |||
'''Alternative approach | |||
<rcode graphics="1"> | |||
a <- c('EPBD 2002', 'EPBD 2008', 'More renewables', 'Behavioural changes', 'More efficient urban structures') | |||
b <- c('European BAU', 'European policy option') | |||
b <- paste( c(rep(b[1],5),rep(b[2],5)),'|', a) | |||
c <- c(rep(0,25), rep(1,25)) | |||
dim(c) <- c(10,5) | |||
c <- rep( c(0,0,0,0,0,1,1,1,1,1),5) | |||
dim(c) <- c(10,5) | |||
for (i in 2:5) {c[i,i] <- 1} | |||
for (i in 2:5) {c[i+5,i] <- 0} | |||
rownames(c) <- b | |||
colnames(c) <- a | |||
n <- 5000 | |||
d <- round(runif(n, 0.5, 10.5)) | |||
c <- c[d,2:5] | |||
d <- 1:(5*n) | |||
dim(d) <- c(n,5) | |||
d[,1] <- 1:n | |||
d[,2:5] <- c | |||
colnames(d) <- c('obs', a[2:5]) | |||
e <- data.frame(obs= rep(d[,1],4), policy= 0, Freq=0) | |||
for(i in 1:(4*n)){e[i,2] <- colnames(c)[round(i/n+0.49999)]} | |||
for(i in 1:(4*n)){e[i,3] <- c[i-round(i/n-0.50001)*n, round(i/n+0.49999)]} | |||
e | |||
</rcode> | |||
==Result== | ==Result== | ||
;Note!: The current (as of January 2011) result in [[Opasnet Base]] is that of the alternative approach. The result of the main approach is only presented here in a tabular form. | |||
'''Main approach | |||
{| {{prettytable}} | |||
|+ '''Building policies in Europe and their usage for different years in the [[Common Case Study]]. | |||
! Policy | |||
! colspan="4" | Year | |||
|---- | |||
| | |||
! 2010 | |||
! 2020 | |||
! 2030 | |||
! 2050 | |||
|---- | |||
| '''BAU''': business as usual contains the implementation of already made decisions but no further actions | |||
| Assessed | |||
| Assessed | |||
| Assessed | |||
| Assessed | |||
|---- | |||
| '''ALL''': all such policies are implemented that are required to reduce the total greenhouse gas emissions by 70 % by 2050 | |||
| Not assessed | |||
| Assessed | |||
| Assessed | |||
| Assessed | |||
|---- | |||
| '''INSULATION''': only building insulation policies from ALL are implemented (ALL also contains policies to increase biomass use, but these are not implemented here); | |||
| Not assessed | |||
| Not assessed | |||
| Not assessed | |||
| Assessed | |||
|---- | |||
| '''RENOVATION''': same as ALL except that ventilation is not improved in 50 % of those buildings that are insulated up to tighter standards (in other scenarios, insulation is always combined with improved ventilation). | |||
| Not assessed | |||
| Not assessed | |||
| Not assessed | |||
| Assessed | |||
|---- | |||
|} | |||
'''Alternative approach | |||
{{resultlink}} | {{resultlink}} | ||
{| {{prettytable}} | {| {{prettytable}} | ||
|+Combinations on building policies in Europe | |+ '''Combinations on building policies in Europe | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
| | | | ||
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!Policy | !Policy | ||
!European BAU | !European BAU | ||
!European policy | !European policy options | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|EPBD 2002 | |EPBD 2002 | ||
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{| {{prettytable}} | {| {{prettytable}} | ||
|+Description of policies on building | |+ '''Description of policies on building policy options in Europe | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
!Policy | !Policy | ||
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|Policy option | |Policy option | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|EPBD | |EPBD 2008 (proposal for recast) | ||
|No additional actions. Buildings represent approximately 40% of energy consumption and the potential energy saving is more than 20%. | |No additional actions. Buildings represent approximately 40% of energy consumption and the potential energy saving is more than 20%. | ||
|Increased insulation of buildings and other recast actions. More energy efficient buildings provide better living conditions and save money to all citizens. The estimated impact of the recast is energy savings of 60-80 Mtoe in 2020 or the total EU energy consumption will be reduced by 5-6%. | |Increased insulation of buildings and other recast actions. More energy efficient buildings provide better living conditions and save money to all citizens. The estimated impact of the recast is energy savings of 60-80 Mtoe in 2020 or the total EU energy consumption will be reduced by 5-6%. | ||
Line 74: | Line 162: | ||
|Increased use of renewable energy sources | |Increased use of renewable energy sources | ||
|No additional actions. | |No additional actions. | ||
|Increased percentages (?) of heating / cooling is done by 1) wood burning and 2) heat pumps 3) solar / wind | |Increased percentages (?) of heating / cooling is done by 1) wood burning and 2) heat pumps 3) solar / wind. | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|Behavioral changes | |Behavioral changes | ||
|No additional actions. | |No additional actions. | ||
| | |On-demand heating, cooling and ventilation (based on occupancy / activities). Additional possible policies: heating, cooling and ventilation demands reduced, wider (unconditioned) indoor temperature ranges tolerated (thermal comfort based optimum is 18-24 C); maintenance of the natural defence systems promoted (inc. rehydration, fitness, acclimatization and reduction of excess weight). | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|Sustainable urban planning / more efficient urban structures | |Sustainable urban planning / more efficient urban structures | ||
|No additional actions. | |No additional actions. | ||
|Increasing land-use densities; larger percentage (?) of population living in cities (currently some 80% in Europe). | |Increasing land-use densities; larger percentage (?) of population living in cities (currently some 80% in Europe). | ||
Additional policies that may run parallel: Promoting higher density mixed-use development; Preventing urban sprawl; Increase in amount of waste recycled; Reduction in amount of contaminated land in the city; Reduced pesticide use in the city; Improved natural water quality; Increase in green purchasing; Improvements to existing green space (parks, woods); Increase in number of nature conservation areas in the city; Reduction in energy used by the city; Improved public safety; Sustainable transport; Less air pollution and noise; Increase in proportion of citizens satisfied with the environment in the city | Additional policies that may run parallel: Promoting higher density mixed-use development; Preventing urban sprawl; Increase in amount of waste recycled; Reduction in amount of contaminated land in the city; Reduced pesticide use in the city; Improved natural water quality; Increase in green purchasing; Improvements to existing green space (parks, woods); Increase in number of nature conservation areas in the city; Reduction in energy used by the city; Improved public safety; Sustainable transport; Less air pollution and noise; Increase in proportion of citizens satisfied with the environment in the city. | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|} | |} | ||
{{resultlink}} | {{resultlink}} | ||
==Downstream variables== | |||
* [[Air pollutant emissions in Europe]] | |||
* [[Costs of climate change policies in Europe]] | |||
* [[Greenhouse gas emissions in Europe]] | |||
* [[Building stock in Europe]] | |||
* In [[Heande]] | |||
** [[:heande:HI:Air exchange rate for European residences|HI:Air exchange rate for European residences]] | |||
** [[:heande:HI:PM2.5 emission rate from indoor biomass burning in homes|HI:PM2.5 emission rate from indoor biomass burning in homes]] | |||
==Keywords== | |||
Building stock, decision making, energy, ventilation, neighbourhood. | |||
==See also== | ==See also== | ||
* [[ | * [[Common Case Study]] | ||
* [[:heande: | * [[:heande:Common Case Study|Common Case Study]] in [[Heande]] | ||
* [[Climate change mitigation in housing]] | |||
==References== | ==References== | ||
Line 97: | Line 201: | ||
<references/> | <references/> | ||
http://eur-lex.europa.eu/smartapi/cgi/sga_doc?smartapi!celexplus!prod!DocNumber&lg=en&type_doc=Directive&an_doc=2002&nu_doc=91 | * [http://eur-lex.europa.eu/smartapi/cgi/sga_doc?smartapi!celexplus!prod!DocNumber&lg=en&type_doc=Directive&an_doc=2002&nu_doc=91] | ||
http://europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/08/693&format=HTML&aged=0&language=en&guiLanguage=en | * [http://europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/08/693&format=HTML&aged=0&language=en&guiLanguage=en] | ||
http://www.euro.who.int/document/Gch/HEAT-WAVES%20RC3.pdf | * [http://www.euro.who.int/document/Gch/HEAT-WAVES%20RC3.pdf] | ||
http://ec.europa.eu/environment/urban/thematic_strategy.htm | * [http://ec.europa.eu/environment/urban/thematic_strategy.htm] | ||
* [http://ec.europa.eu/environment/urban/pdf/sec_2006_16_en.pdf] | |||
[[Category:Mega case study]] |
Latest revision as of 09:52, 28 March 2011
Moderator:Jouni (see all) |
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Scope
What are potential building policies in Europe (EU-30) during the period 2010-2050 such that
- they maintain or improve the building infrastructure,
- they help to achieve the climate change mitigation targets,
- they are economically feasible?
Definition
Data
Data come mainly from the Common Case Study. There are two main approaches within the study: the main approach looks at technical issues such as insulation and renovation of buildings or increase in biomass burning; the alternative approach looks also behavioural changes (such as room temperature decreases) and urban infrastructure (increasing urban density). The main approach is used in the assessments of the Common Case Study, but for completion, both are described here.
Dependencies
- European climate scenarios.
- Population of Europe by Country (includes migration).
Unit
-
Formula
Main approach
At the moment, only a part of the Common Case Study is implemented in Opasnet. Therefore, this variable actually only affects heande:HI:Air exchange rate for European residences, and the building policies are included in the formula of that variable.
Alternative approach
Result
- Note!
- The current (as of January 2011) result in Opasnet Base is that of the alternative approach. The result of the main approach is only presented here in a tabular form.
Main approach
Policy | Year | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2050 | |
BAU: business as usual contains the implementation of already made decisions but no further actions | Assessed | Assessed | Assessed | Assessed |
ALL: all such policies are implemented that are required to reduce the total greenhouse gas emissions by 70 % by 2050 | Not assessed | Assessed | Assessed | Assessed |
INSULATION: only building insulation policies from ALL are implemented (ALL also contains policies to increase biomass use, but these are not implemented here); | Not assessed | Not assessed | Not assessed | Assessed |
RENOVATION: same as ALL except that ventilation is not improved in 50 % of those buildings that are insulated up to tighter standards (in other scenarios, insulation is always combined with improved ventilation). | Not assessed | Not assessed | Not assessed | Assessed |
Alternative approach
{{#opasnet_base_link:Op_en4068}}
European climate scenario | ||
---|---|---|
Policy | European BAU | European policy options |
EPBD 2002 | None of the policies below | All of the policies below |
EPBD 2008 (proposal for recast) | None but this | All but this |
More renewables in heating / cooling | None but this | All but this |
Behavioral changes | None but this | All but this |
More efficient urban structures | None but this | All but this |
For an explanation about the logic of the policy combinations, see Road transport policies in Europe#Result.
Policy | Reference (BAU) | Policy option |
---|---|---|
EPBD 2008 (proposal for recast) | No additional actions. Buildings represent approximately 40% of energy consumption and the potential energy saving is more than 20%. | Increased insulation of buildings and other recast actions. More energy efficient buildings provide better living conditions and save money to all citizens. The estimated impact of the recast is energy savings of 60-80 Mtoe in 2020 or the total EU energy consumption will be reduced by 5-6%. |
Increased use of renewable energy sources | No additional actions. | Increased percentages (?) of heating / cooling is done by 1) wood burning and 2) heat pumps 3) solar / wind. |
Behavioral changes | No additional actions. | On-demand heating, cooling and ventilation (based on occupancy / activities). Additional possible policies: heating, cooling and ventilation demands reduced, wider (unconditioned) indoor temperature ranges tolerated (thermal comfort based optimum is 18-24 C); maintenance of the natural defence systems promoted (inc. rehydration, fitness, acclimatization and reduction of excess weight). |
Sustainable urban planning / more efficient urban structures | No additional actions. | Increasing land-use densities; larger percentage (?) of population living in cities (currently some 80% in Europe).
Additional policies that may run parallel: Promoting higher density mixed-use development; Preventing urban sprawl; Increase in amount of waste recycled; Reduction in amount of contaminated land in the city; Reduced pesticide use in the city; Improved natural water quality; Increase in green purchasing; Improvements to existing green space (parks, woods); Increase in number of nature conservation areas in the city; Reduction in energy used by the city; Improved public safety; Sustainable transport; Less air pollution and noise; Increase in proportion of citizens satisfied with the environment in the city. |
{{#opasnet_base_link:Op_en4068}}
Downstream variables
- Air pollutant emissions in Europe
- Costs of climate change policies in Europe
- Greenhouse gas emissions in Europe
- Building stock in Europe
- In Heande
Keywords
Building stock, decision making, energy, ventilation, neighbourhood.
See also
References