View source for SHELF

[[Category:Bayes]]
[[Category:Expert elicitation]]
[[Category:Uncertainty]]
{{method|moderator=Jouni}}

The '''SHeffield ELicitation Framework (SHELF)''' is a package of documents, templates and software to carry out elicitation of probability distributions for uncertain quantities from a group of experts. The SHELF software is written in R language. Notably, SHELF is used in an online tool [http://optics.eee.nottingham.ac.uk/match/uncertainty.php MATCH] for expert elicitation.

Elicitation is increasingly important for quantifying expert knowledge in situations where hard data are sparse. This is often the context in which difficult policy decisions are made. It is generally important to elicit from a group of experts, rather than a single expert, in order to synthesise the range of knowledge and opinions of the expert community. (However, SHELF may be used for a single expert with only trivial modification.) By reading and carefully following the SHELF documentation, it is possible for an untrained facilitator to carry out competent elicitation. 


==See also==

* [http://www.tonyohagan.co.uk/shelf/ SHELF Main Page]
** [http://www.tonyohagan.co.uk/shelf/SHELFv2_0.zip SHELF 2.0] zip file
** [http://www.tonyohagan.co.uk/academic/courses.html An elicitation training course] based around SHELF
* [http://optics.eee.nottingham.ac.uk/match/uncertainty.php MATCH] tool for expert elicitation
* [http://www.journals.elsevier.com/environmental-modelling-and-software Environmental modelling and software] often contains articles about expert elicitation
* [http://www.mucm.ac.uk/ MUCM] Managing uncertainty in complex models &middot; [http://www.mucm.ac.uk/Pages/MCSGSoftware.html Software and R packages]
* [http://www.jeremy-oakley.staff.shef.ac.uk/ Related links] (by Jeremy Oakley)
* [http://www.jeremy-oakley.staff.shef.ac.uk/MultivariateElicitation.pdf Eliciting multivariate probability distributions]

==References==

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==Related files==

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