Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon

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Scope

Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon describes the health risks of persistent pollutants found in the farmed salmon consumed in the Western Europe (EU-15, Norway, Iceland, and Switzerland). The risk is measured as avoided premature deaths per year (this leads to negative numbers for increased risks).

Definition

Data

  • The plausible range is -10000 - 0 avoided cases per year (author judgement).
  • Pollutant health risk is calculated assuming additivity between the pollutants.
  • Dioxin risks are not considered because they were not considered in Hites' paper[1].

Causality

Upstream variables

Unit

avoided cases/a

Formula

<anacode> 

var a:= -Risk_slope*pollutant_exposure/1000*western_europe;
a:= (if pollutant1='Dioxin' then 0 else a);
sum(a,pollutant1)

</anacode>

Result

Show results


Statistics or fractile Business as usual Recommend restrictions Stricter rules for feed Both
Mean -206 -151 -139 -102
SD 71 55 70 53
0.01 -408 -326 -340 -268
0.025 -371 -292 -302 -233
0.05 -339 -259 -270 -202
0.25 -249 -179 -180 -129
0.5 (Median) -196 -138 -130 -94
0.75 -153 -111 -87 -65
0.95 -107 -83 -40 -29
0.975 -96 -76 -28 -21
0.99 -84 -69 -17 -13

See also

Benefit-risk assessment on farmed salmon: To the assessment page | To the Analytica model
Decision variables:

Variable:Recommendation for consumption of farmed salmon | Variable:Pollutant concentration limits for fish feed

Indicators:

Variable:Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon | Variable:Net health effects due to the consumption of salmon

Other variables:

Variable:Persistent pollutant concentrations in fish feed | Variable:Persistent pollutant concentrations in salmon | Variable:Salmon intake in the population of the Western Europe | Variable:Exposure to persistent pollutants due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe | Variable:Dose-response function of persistent pollutants | Variable:Omega-3 content in salmon | Variable:Omega-3 intake due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe | Variable:Dose-response function of cardiovascular effects of omega-3 fatty acids | Variable:Total mortality in the Western Europe | Variable:Cardiovascular mortality in the Western Europe | Variable:Cardiovascular effects of omega-3 in salmon in the Western Europe

References

  1. ↑ R. A. Hites et al. Global assessment of organic contaminants in farmed salmon. Science, 9 Jan. 2004, p. 226
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